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政治·文化

Elon Musk在2026年3月# tweets ？

Market icon
政治·文化

Elon Musk在2026年3月# tweets ？

Mar 11

Apr 1

May 1

Mar 11

Apr 1

May 1

1400+ 58.4%

1360-1399 10.3%

1320-1359 6.9%

1280-1319 4.7%

Polymarket

$1,738,602 交易量

1400+ 58.4%

1360-1399 10.3%

1320-1359 6.9%

1280-1319 4.7%

Polymarket

$1,738,602 交易量

420-439

$36,869 交易量

<1%

440-459

$40,862 交易量

<1%

460-479

$32,984 交易量

<1%

480-499

$34,800 交易量

<1%

500-519

$36,768 交易量

<1%

520-539

$34,936 交易量

<1%

540-559

$33,688 交易量

<1%

560-579

$45,446 交易量

<1%

580-599

$36,087 交易量

<1%

600-639

$36,716 交易量

<1%

640-679

$31,044 交易量

<1%

680-719

$36,914 交易量

<1%

720-759

$26,209 交易量

<1%

760-799

$20,146 交易量

<1%

800-839

$26,698 交易量

<1%

840-879

$22,356 交易量

<1%

880-919

$23,588 交易量

1%

920-959

$15,128 交易量

1%

960-999

$19,996 交易量

1%

1000-1039

$23,448 交易量

1%

1040-1079

$15,308 交易量

2%

1080-1119

$16,720 交易量

2%

1120-1159

$15,361 交易量

3%

1160-1199

$20,682 交易量

4%

1200-1239

$16,455 交易量

4%

1240-1279

$16,437 交易量

4%

1280-1319

$17,728 交易量

5%

1320-1359

$25,574 交易量

7%

1360-1399

$26,563 交易量

10%

1400+

$38,605 交易量

58%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of March 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$1,738,602
结束日期
Apr 1, 2026
市场开放时间
Jan 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of March 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Elon Musk在2026年3月# tweets ？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 51+ 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"1400+"，概率为 58%，其次是"1360-1399"，概率为 10%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 58¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 58%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"Elon Musk在2026年3月# tweets ？"已产生 $1.7 million 的总交易量（自Jan 24, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Elon Musk在2026年3月# tweets ？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 51+ 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Elon Musk在2026年3月# tweets ？"的当前领先者是"1400+"，概率为 58%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 58%。紧随其后的结果是"1360-1399"，概率为 10%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Elon Musk在2026年3月# tweets ？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。