The Federal Reserve’s unanimous September 16, 2026, rate hike to a 3.75-4% target range amid 3.7% PCE inflation and solid 2.3% GDP growth underpins the 97.6% market-implied probability against an emergency cut before 2027. Strong labor conditions with unemployment near 4.1%, resilient consumer spending, robust productivity, and FOMC projections for rates to stay elevated or rise further through 2027 reflect a measured policy stance focused on returning inflation to 2% without crisis-driven intervention. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, aligns with this baseline of economic resilience. Extreme tail risks such as a sudden systemic financial shock or sharp escalation in Middle East geopolitical tensions could still trigger an unscheduled easing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
3% 概率
$230,988 交易量
$230,988 交易量
2026-12-31
是
3% 概率
$230,988 交易量
$230,988 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.The Federal Reserve’s unanimous September 16, 2026, rate hike to a 3.75-4% target range amid 3.7% PCE inflation and solid 2.3% GDP growth underpins the 97.6% market-implied probability against an emergency cut before 2027. Strong labor conditions with unemployment near 4.1%, resilient consumer spending, robust productivity, and FOMC projections for rates to stay elevated or rise further through 2027 reflect a measured policy stance focused on returning inflation to 2% without crisis-driven intervention. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, aligns with this baseline of economic resilience. Extreme tail risks such as a sudden systemic financial shock or sharp escalation in Middle East geopolitical tensions could still trigger an unscheduled easing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
市场开放时间： Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
交易量
$230,988结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.The Federal Reserve’s unanimous September 16, 2026, rate hike to a 3.75-4% target range amid 3.7% PCE inflation and solid 2.3% GDP growth underpins the 97.6% market-implied probability against an emergency cut before 2027. Strong labor conditions with unemployment near 4.1%, resilient consumer spending, robust productivity, and FOMC projections for rates to stay elevated or rise further through 2027 reflect a measured policy stance focused on returning inflation to 2% without crisis-driven intervention. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, aligns with this baseline of economic resilience. Extreme tail risks such as a sudden systemic financial shock or sharp escalation in Middle East geopolitical tensions could still trigger an unscheduled easing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
交易量
$230,988结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETThe Federal Reserve’s unanimous September 16, 2026, rate hike to a 3.75-4% target range amid 3.7% PCE inflation and solid 2.3% GDP growth underpins the 97.6% market-implied probability against an emergency cut before 2027. Strong labor conditions with unemployment near 4.1%, resilient consumer spending, robust productivity, and FOMC projections for rates to stay elevated or rise further through 2027 reflect a measured policy stance focused on returning inflation to 2% without crisis-driven intervention. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, aligns with this baseline of economic resilience. Extreme tail risks such as a sudden systemic financial shock or sharp escalation in Middle East geopolitical tensions could still trigger an unscheduled easing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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