HawkEye 360's IPO roadshow, launched April 27, 2026, drives trader consensus toward a fully diluted market cap near $2.4 billion at the targeted $24–$26 share price range for 16 million shares, implying up to $416 million raised on the NYSE under ticker HAWK. Evenly split implied probabilities across market cap bins reflect high uncertainty amid volatile space-defense sector valuations, fueled by 74% revenue growth to $117.7 million in 2025, $2.7 million net income, and a $303 million contract backlog, yet tempered by integration risks from recent acquisitions and broader equity market risk appetite. Key swing factors include roadshow demand and peer multiples; pricing expected imminently ahead of a May 7 listing, with no-IPO odds highlighting potential delays from regulatory scrutiny.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$2.5B–$3.25B 100.0%
<$2.5B <1%
$3.25B–$4.0B <1%
$4.0B–$4.75B <1%
$10,176 交易量
$10,176 交易量
<$2.5B
No
$2.5B–$3.25B
Yes
$3.25B–$4.0B
No
$4.0B–$4.75B
No
$4.75B+
No
No IPO before July 2026
No
$2.5B–$3.25B 100.0%
<$2.5B <1%
$3.25B–$4.0B <1%
$4.0B–$4.75B <1%
$10,176 交易量
$10,176 交易量
<$2.5B
No
$2.5B–$3.25B
Yes
$3.25B–$4.0B
No
$4.0B–$4.75B
No
$4.75B+
No
No IPO before July 2026
No
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 7 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
市场开放时间: May 5, 2026, 7:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 7 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
HawkEye 360's IPO roadshow, launched April 27, 2026, drives trader consensus toward a fully diluted market cap near $2.4 billion at the targeted $24–$26 share price range for 16 million shares, implying up to $416 million raised on the NYSE under ticker HAWK. Evenly split implied probabilities across market cap bins reflect high uncertainty amid volatile space-defense sector valuations, fueled by 74% revenue growth to $117.7 million in 2025, $2.7 million net income, and a $303 million contract backlog, yet tempered by integration risks from recent acquisitions and broader equity market risk appetite. Key swing factors include roadshow demand and peer multiples; pricing expected imminently ahead of a May 7 listing, with no-IPO odds highlighting potential delays from regulatory scrutiny.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

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警惕外部链接哦。
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