Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 15°C in Ankara on May 6 at Esenboğa International Airport, driven by Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) observational data recording that peak amid persistent northerly winds and extensive cloud cover from an ongoing cold air outbreak. Hourly readings show temperatures stabilizing below 15°C after midday, consistent with model consensus from MGM and international forecasts projecting no further warming under overcast skies and light precipitation risks. This positioning reflects Ankara's atypical May chill, well below the climatological average high of around 21°C. Realistic challenges would require abrupt clearing and solar heating before midnight, though low sun angles and wind shear make this unlikely; final MGM daily summary expected post-UTC midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Ankara on May 6?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 6?
15°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$73,001 交易量
$73,001 交易量
2026-05-06
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$73,001 交易量
$73,001 交易量
2026-05-06
7°C or below
$548 交易量
No
8°C
$384 交易量
No
9°C
$402 交易量
No
10°C
$754 交易量
No
11°C
$3,416 交易量
No
12°C
$5,347 交易量
No
13°C
$13,111 交易量
No
14°C
$8,764 交易量
No
15°C
$9,618 交易量
Yes
16°C
$14,585 交易量
No
17°C or higher
$16,072 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 15°C in Ankara on May 6 at Esenboğa International Airport, driven by Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) observational data recording that peak amid persistent northerly winds and extensive cloud cover from an ongoing cold air outbreak. Hourly readings show temperatures stabilizing below 15°C after midday, consistent with model consensus from MGM and international forecasts projecting no further warming under overcast skies and light precipitation risks. This positioning reflects Ankara's atypical May chill, well below the climatological average high of around 21°C. Realistic challenges would require abrupt clearing and solar heating before midnight, though low sun angles and wind shear make this unlikely; final MGM daily summary expected post-UTC midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 4, 2026, 12:23 PM ET
交易量
$73,001结束日期
2026-05-06市场开放时间
May 4, 2026, 12:23 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 15°C in Ankara on May 6 at Esenboğa International Airport, driven by Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) observational data recording that peak amid persistent northerly winds and extensive cloud cover from an ongoing cold air outbreak. Hourly readings show temperatures stabilizing below 15°C after midday, consistent with model consensus from MGM and international forecasts projecting no further warming under overcast skies and light precipitation risks. This positioning reflects Ankara's atypical May chill, well below the climatological average high of around 21°C. Realistic challenges would require abrupt clearing and solar heating before midnight, though low sun angles and wind shear make this unlikely; final MGM daily summary expected post-UTC midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$73,001结束日期
2026-05-06市场开放时间
May 4, 2026, 12:23 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 15°C in Ankara on May 6 at Esenboğa International Airport, driven by Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) observational data recording that peak amid persistent northerly winds and extensive cloud cover from an ongoing cold air outbreak. Hourly readings show temperatures stabilizing below 15°C after midday, consistent with model consensus from MGM and international forecasts projecting no further warming under overcast skies and light precipitation risks. This positioning reflects Ankara's atypical May chill, well below the climatological average high of around 21°C. Realistic challenges would require abrupt clearing and solar heating before midnight, though low sun angles and wind shear make this unlikely; final MGM daily summary expected post-UTC midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题