Official observations from the National Weather Service (NWS) and Weather Underground confirm the highest temperature at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) on May 1, 2026, reached just 64°F—well below the May climatological normal of 83°F and ranking among the coldest May highs on record. Persistent cloud cover, light to heavy rain, and thunderstorms throughout the day suppressed solar heating and convective mixing, preventing typical diurnal warming. This observed data drives the market's 100% implied probability on "73°F or below," reflecting trader consensus on finalized automated surface observing system (ASOS) measurements. Revisions are unlikely absent equipment errors, with final NWS climate summary expected soon to lock in resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月1日奥斯汀的最高温度？
5月1日奥斯汀的最高温度？
73°F或更低 100.0%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$31,189 交易量
$31,189 交易量
2026-05-01
73°F或更低
是
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88-89°F
否
90-91°F
否
92°F或更高
否
73°F或更低 100.0%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$31,189 交易量
$31,189 交易量
2026-05-01
73°F或更低
$8,216 交易量
是
74-75°F
$6,315 交易量
否
76-77°F
$8,941 交易量
否
78-79°F
$2,123 交易量
否
80-81°F
$663 交易量
否
82-83°F
$1,655 交易量
否
84-85°F
$437 交易量
否
86-87°F
$376 交易量
否
88-89°F
$404 交易量
否
90-91°F
$446 交易量
否
92°F或更高
$1,612 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the National Weather Service (NWS) and Weather Underground confirm the highest temperature at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) on May 1, 2026, reached just 64°F—well below the May climatological normal of 83°F and ranking among the coldest May highs on record. Persistent cloud cover, light to heavy rain, and thunderstorms throughout the day suppressed solar heating and convective mixing, preventing typical diurnal warming. This observed data drives the market's 100% implied probability on "73°F or below," reflecting trader consensus on finalized automated surface observing system (ASOS) measurements. Revisions are unlikely absent equipment errors, with final NWS climate summary expected soon to lock in resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
交易量
$31,189结束日期
2026-05-01市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the National Weather Service (NWS) and Weather Underground confirm the highest temperature at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) on May 1, 2026, reached just 64°F—well below the May climatological normal of 83°F and ranking among the coldest May highs on record. Persistent cloud cover, light to heavy rain, and thunderstorms throughout the day suppressed solar heating and convective mixing, preventing typical diurnal warming. This observed data drives the market's 100% implied probability on "73°F or below," reflecting trader consensus on finalized automated surface observing system (ASOS) measurements. Revisions are unlikely absent equipment errors, with final NWS climate summary expected soon to lock in resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$31,189结束日期
2026-05-01市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
Official observations from the National Weather Service (NWS) and Weather Underground confirm the highest temperature at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) on May 1, 2026, reached just 64°F—well below the May climatological normal of 83°F and ranking among the coldest May highs on record. Persistent cloud cover, light to heavy rain, and thunderstorms throughout the day suppressed solar heating and convective mixing, preventing typical diurnal warming. This observed data drives the market's 100% implied probability on "73°F or below," reflecting trader consensus on finalized automated surface observing system (ASOS) measurements. Revisions are unlikely absent equipment errors, with final NWS climate summary expected soon to lock in resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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