The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Austin on May 3, 2026, projects a high temperature near 79°F under mostly sunny skies and light south winds at 5-10 mph, driving the unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 76°F or higher. This positioning stems from a slow warming trend following recent below-normal temperatures, with model consensus from short-range guidance like the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh showing peak heat in the mid-to-upper 70s amid dry conditions and no precipitation threats. Early May climatological normals hover around 83°F, reinforcing the outlook. Realistic challenges would require unexpected marine stratus clouds, a sudden wind shift, or unforecasted showers—low-risk scenarios per current NWS Austin/San Antonio guidance—but intraday updates could refine the peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Austin on May 3?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 3?
76°F or higher 100.0%
57°F or below <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$89,558 交易量
$89,558 交易量
2026-05-03
57°F or below
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76°F or higher
Yes
76°F or higher 100.0%
57°F or below <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$89,558 交易量
$89,558 交易量
2026-05-03
57°F or below
$9,219 交易量
No
58-59°F
$7,978 交易量
No
60-61°F
$9,310 交易量
No
62-63°F
$8,688 交易量
No
64-65°F
$9,875 交易量
No
66-67°F
$5,307 交易量
No
68-69°F
$1,839 交易量
No
70-71°F
$3,737 交易量
No
72-73°F
$9,742 交易量
No
74-75°F
$12,330 交易量
No
76°F or higher
$11,533 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Austin on May 3, 2026, projects a high temperature near 79°F under mostly sunny skies and light south winds at 5-10 mph, driving the unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 76°F or higher. This positioning stems from a slow warming trend following recent below-normal temperatures, with model consensus from short-range guidance like the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh showing peak heat in the mid-to-upper 70s amid dry conditions and no precipitation threats. Early May climatological normals hover around 83°F, reinforcing the outlook. Realistic challenges would require unexpected marine stratus clouds, a sudden wind shift, or unforecasted showers—low-risk scenarios per current NWS Austin/San Antonio guidance—but intraday updates could refine the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 1, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
交易量
$89,558结束日期
2026-05-03市场开放时间
May 1, 2026, 12:13 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Austin on May 3, 2026, projects a high temperature near 79°F under mostly sunny skies and light south winds at 5-10 mph, driving the unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 76°F or higher. This positioning stems from a slow warming trend following recent below-normal temperatures, with model consensus from short-range guidance like the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh showing peak heat in the mid-to-upper 70s amid dry conditions and no precipitation threats. Early May climatological normals hover around 83°F, reinforcing the outlook. Realistic challenges would require unexpected marine stratus clouds, a sudden wind shift, or unforecasted showers—low-risk scenarios per current NWS Austin/San Antonio guidance—but intraday updates could refine the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$89,558结束日期
2026-05-03市场开放时间
May 1, 2026, 12:13 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Austin on May 3, 2026, projects a high temperature near 79°F under mostly sunny skies and light south winds at 5-10 mph, driving the unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 76°F or higher. This positioning stems from a slow warming trend following recent below-normal temperatures, with model consensus from short-range guidance like the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh showing peak heat in the mid-to-upper 70s amid dry conditions and no precipitation threats. Early May climatological normals hover around 83°F, reinforcing the outlook. Realistic challenges would require unexpected marine stratus clouds, a sudden wind shift, or unforecasted showers—low-risk scenarios per current NWS Austin/San Antonio guidance—but intraday updates could refine the peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题