Recent forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate stable atmospheric conditions over Beijing on June 16, 2026, with daytime highs aligning precisely at 25°C due to moderate southerly flow, limited solar heating under partial cloud cover, and typical early-summer temperatures near the seasonal baseline. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 25°C outcome reflects this alignment between model runs and real-time observations, creating strong skin-in-the-game confidence. Realistic challenges remain limited to last-minute revisions in numerical weather prediction outputs or localized microclimate effects that could shift the official recorded maximum by 1°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月16日北京气温最高？
6月16日北京气温最高？
25°C 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$213,502 交易量
$213,502 交易量
2026-06-16
21°C或以下
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
是
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C或更高
否
25°C 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$213,502 交易量
$213,502 交易量
2026-06-16
21°C或以下
$5,454 交易量
否
22°C
$7,982 交易量
否
23°C
$18,169 交易量
否
24°C
$53,723 交易量
否
25°C
$41,000 交易量
是
26°C
$20,360 交易量
否
27°C
$22,075 交易量
否
28°C
$17,644 交易量
否
29°C
$12,443 交易量
否
30°C
$6,421 交易量
否
31°C或更高
$8,230 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate stable atmospheric conditions over Beijing on June 16, 2026, with daytime highs aligning precisely at 25°C due to moderate southerly flow, limited solar heating under partial cloud cover, and typical early-summer temperatures near the seasonal baseline. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 25°C outcome reflects this alignment between model runs and real-time observations, creating strong skin-in-the-game confidence. Realistic challenges remain limited to last-minute revisions in numerical weather prediction outputs or localized microclimate effects that could shift the official recorded maximum by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$213,502结束日期
2026-06-16市场开放时间
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate stable atmospheric conditions over Beijing on June 16, 2026, with daytime highs aligning precisely at 25°C due to moderate southerly flow, limited solar heating under partial cloud cover, and typical early-summer temperatures near the seasonal baseline. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 25°C outcome reflects this alignment between model runs and real-time observations, creating strong skin-in-the-game confidence. Realistic challenges remain limited to last-minute revisions in numerical weather prediction outputs or localized microclimate effects that could shift the official recorded maximum by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$213,502结束日期
2026-06-16市场开放时间
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Recent forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate stable atmospheric conditions over Beijing on June 16, 2026, with daytime highs aligning precisely at 25°C due to moderate southerly flow, limited solar heating under partial cloud cover, and typical early-summer temperatures near the seasonal baseline. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 25°C outcome reflects this alignment between model runs and real-time observations, creating strong skin-in-the-game confidence. Realistic challenges remain limited to last-minute revisions in numerical weather prediction outputs or localized microclimate effects that could shift the official recorded maximum by 1°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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