Korea Meteorological Administration observations at Gimhae International Airport—the official station for Busan temperature records—confirm a midday peak of 17°C on May 3, 2026, under mostly cloudy conditions from a passing frontal system that suppressed solar insolation and introduced cool air advection. This aligns precisely with short-range KMA forecast model consensus projecting highs of 16–18°C, well below early May climatological averages near 20°C amid 2026's warmer-than-normal seasonal outlook. Trader consensus at 100% reflects real-time data showing temperatures holding steady or declining toward evening sunset around 6:30 PM KST. Realistic challenges include improbable late-day clearing for a brief 1°C rebound, though decreasing daylight minimizes this risk; final KMA daily summary expected post-midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月3日釜山气温最高？
5月3日釜山气温最高？
17°C 100.0%
10°C或以下 <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$65,481 交易量
$65,481 交易量
2026-05-03
10°C或以下
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
是
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C或以上
否
17°C 100.0%
10°C或以下 <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$65,481 交易量
$65,481 交易量
2026-05-03
10°C或以下
$2,569 交易量
否
11°C
$1,973 交易量
否
12°C
$2,047 交易量
否
13°C
$1,945 交易量
否
14°C
$2,069 交易量
否
15°C
$3,031 交易量
否
16°C
$12,687 交易量
否
17°C
$13,661 交易量
是
18°C
$6,028 交易量
否
19°C
$11,513 交易量
否
20°C或以上
$7,959 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration observations at Gimhae International Airport—the official station for Busan temperature records—confirm a midday peak of 17°C on May 3, 2026, under mostly cloudy conditions from a passing frontal system that suppressed solar insolation and introduced cool air advection. This aligns precisely with short-range KMA forecast model consensus projecting highs of 16–18°C, well below early May climatological averages near 20°C amid 2026's warmer-than-normal seasonal outlook. Trader consensus at 100% reflects real-time data showing temperatures holding steady or declining toward evening sunset around 6:30 PM KST. Realistic challenges include improbable late-day clearing for a brief 1°C rebound, though decreasing daylight minimizes this risk; final KMA daily summary expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 1, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$65,481结束日期
2026-05-03市场开放时间
May 1, 2026, 12:08 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration observations at Gimhae International Airport—the official station for Busan temperature records—confirm a midday peak of 17°C on May 3, 2026, under mostly cloudy conditions from a passing frontal system that suppressed solar insolation and introduced cool air advection. This aligns precisely with short-range KMA forecast model consensus projecting highs of 16–18°C, well below early May climatological averages near 20°C amid 2026's warmer-than-normal seasonal outlook. Trader consensus at 100% reflects real-time data showing temperatures holding steady or declining toward evening sunset around 6:30 PM KST. Realistic challenges include improbable late-day clearing for a brief 1°C rebound, though decreasing daylight minimizes this risk; final KMA daily summary expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$65,481结束日期
2026-05-03市场开放时间
May 1, 2026, 12:08 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Korea Meteorological Administration observations at Gimhae International Airport—the official station for Busan temperature records—confirm a midday peak of 17°C on May 3, 2026, under mostly cloudy conditions from a passing frontal system that suppressed solar insolation and introduced cool air advection. This aligns precisely with short-range KMA forecast model consensus projecting highs of 16–18°C, well below early May climatological averages near 20°C amid 2026's warmer-than-normal seasonal outlook. Trader consensus at 100% reflects real-time data showing temperatures holding steady or declining toward evening sunset around 6:30 PM KST. Realistic challenges include improbable late-day clearing for a brief 1°C rebound, though decreasing daylight minimizes this risk; final KMA daily summary expected post-midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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