Official observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport confirm today's highest temperature reached exactly 24°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome as traders align with verified surface measurements from the China Meteorological Administration. Persistent overcast skies and intermittent light rain throughout the day suppressed solar insolation and convective heating, capping peaks despite early model guidance from NOAA analogs and ECMWF ensembles hinting at 25°C potential under partial clearing. This cooler-than-typical May reading—below the 26°C monthly average—reflects a synoptic trough bringing moist northerly flow; final resolution hinges on any post-audit data review, though revisions are rare absent equipment anomalies, solidifying trader consensus backed by real capital.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 8?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 8?
24°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$66,806 交易量
$66,806 交易量
2026-05-08
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$66,806 交易量
$66,806 交易量
2026-05-08
20°C or below
$3,711 交易量
No
21°C
$3,243 交易量
No
22°C
$7,528 交易量
No
23°C
$6,865 交易量
No
24°C
$9,630 交易量
Yes
25°C
$5,279 交易量
No
26°C
$5,605 交易量
No
27°C
$6,326 交易量
No
28°C
$5,394 交易量
No
29°C
$6,862 交易量
No
30°C or higher
$6,361 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport confirm today's highest temperature reached exactly 24°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome as traders align with verified surface measurements from the China Meteorological Administration. Persistent overcast skies and intermittent light rain throughout the day suppressed solar insolation and convective heating, capping peaks despite early model guidance from NOAA analogs and ECMWF ensembles hinting at 25°C potential under partial clearing. This cooler-than-typical May reading—below the 26°C monthly average—reflects a synoptic trough bringing moist northerly flow; final resolution hinges on any post-audit data review, though revisions are rare absent equipment anomalies, solidifying trader consensus backed by real capital.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 6, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
交易量
$66,806结束日期
2026-05-08市场开放时间
May 6, 2026, 12:16 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport confirm today's highest temperature reached exactly 24°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome as traders align with verified surface measurements from the China Meteorological Administration. Persistent overcast skies and intermittent light rain throughout the day suppressed solar insolation and convective heating, capping peaks despite early model guidance from NOAA analogs and ECMWF ensembles hinting at 25°C potential under partial clearing. This cooler-than-typical May reading—below the 26°C monthly average—reflects a synoptic trough bringing moist northerly flow; final resolution hinges on any post-audit data review, though revisions are rare absent equipment anomalies, solidifying trader consensus backed by real capital.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$66,806结束日期
2026-05-08市场开放时间
May 6, 2026, 12:16 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport confirm today's highest temperature reached exactly 24°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome as traders align with verified surface measurements from the China Meteorological Administration. Persistent overcast skies and intermittent light rain throughout the day suppressed solar insolation and convective heating, capping peaks despite early model guidance from NOAA analogs and ECMWF ensembles hinting at 25°C potential under partial clearing. This cooler-than-typical May reading—below the 26°C monthly average—reflects a synoptic trough bringing moist northerly flow; final resolution hinges on any post-audit data review, though revisions are rare absent equipment anomalies, solidifying trader consensus backed by real capital.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题