Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport on May 2, 2026, backed by official observational data from the China Meteorological Administration and Weather Underground records showing midday peaks at 23°C. Persistent overcast skies, morning showers, northwest winds ushering cooler air masses, and high humidity suppressed solar insolation and convective heating, capping temperatures well below May's climatological average high of 27°C. Short-range forecast models from NOAA analogs aligned with this outcome. A realistic challenge would require unexpected late-afternoon clearing and rapid radiative warming before sunset, though METAR reports indicate diminishing potential as evening sets in; final Wunderground data finalization will trigger resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月2日重庆气温最高？
5月2日重庆气温最高？
23°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$64,044 交易量
$64,044 交易量
2026-05-02
15°C或以下
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
是
24°C
否
25°C或以上
否
23°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$64,044 交易量
$64,044 交易量
2026-05-02
15°C或以下
$1,037 交易量
否
16°C
$762 交易量
否
17°C
$1,432 交易量
否
18°C
$6,328 交易量
否
19°C
$5,717 交易量
否
20°C
$3,541 交易量
否
21°C
$5,238 交易量
否
22°C
$9,916 交易量
否
23°C
$10,759 交易量
是
24°C
$10,360 交易量
否
25°C或以上
$8,953 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport on May 2, 2026, backed by official observational data from the China Meteorological Administration and Weather Underground records showing midday peaks at 23°C. Persistent overcast skies, morning showers, northwest winds ushering cooler air masses, and high humidity suppressed solar insolation and convective heating, capping temperatures well below May's climatological average high of 27°C. Short-range forecast models from NOAA analogs aligned with this outcome. A realistic challenge would require unexpected late-afternoon clearing and rapid radiative warming before sunset, though METAR reports indicate diminishing potential as evening sets in; final Wunderground data finalization will trigger resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
交易量
$64,044结束日期
2026-05-02市场开放时间
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport on May 2, 2026, backed by official observational data from the China Meteorological Administration and Weather Underground records showing midday peaks at 23°C. Persistent overcast skies, morning showers, northwest winds ushering cooler air masses, and high humidity suppressed solar insolation and convective heating, capping temperatures well below May's climatological average high of 27°C. Short-range forecast models from NOAA analogs aligned with this outcome. A realistic challenge would require unexpected late-afternoon clearing and rapid radiative warming before sunset, though METAR reports indicate diminishing potential as evening sets in; final Wunderground data finalization will trigger resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$64,044结束日期
2026-05-02市场开放时间
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport on May 2, 2026, backed by official observational data from the China Meteorological Administration and Weather Underground records showing midday peaks at 23°C. Persistent overcast skies, morning showers, northwest winds ushering cooler air masses, and high humidity suppressed solar insolation and convective heating, capping temperatures well below May's climatological average high of 27°C. Short-range forecast models from NOAA analogs aligned with this outcome. A realistic challenge would require unexpected late-afternoon clearing and rapid radiative warming before sunset, though METAR reports indicate diminishing potential as evening sets in; final Wunderground data finalization will trigger resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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