Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas's highest temperature on April 16, with 84-85°F (31.5% implied probability) edging 86-87°F (29.5%) amid a persistent upper-level ridge fostering above-normal warmth following a record 95°F high at Dallas-Fort Worth Airport earlier this week. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show consensus peaks near 85°F, but diverge on afternoon cloud cover from patchy convection or weak disturbances, potentially capping heating in the 82-83°F range (15.5%) if showers materialize or allowing 88-89°F (12.5%) under clearer skies. Key differentiators include boundary layer mixing from south-southeasterly winds (10-15 mph) and low soil moisture from ongoing drought, boosting sensible heating; watch NWS updates this afternoon for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on official DFW observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月16日达拉斯的最高温度？
4月16日达拉斯的最高温度？
84-85°F 33%
86-87°F 23%
82-83°F 16%
88-89°F 13%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
75°F或以下
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
16%
84-85°F
33%
86-87°F
23%
88-89°F
13%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
2%
94°F或更高
1%
84-85°F 33%
86-87°F 23%
82-83°F 16%
88-89°F 13%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
75°F或以下
$699 交易量
1%
76-77°F
$219 交易量
1%
78-79°F
$186 交易量
4%
80-81°F
$432 交易量
5%
82-83°F
$146 交易量
16%
84-85°F
$157 交易量
33%
86-87°F
$464 交易量
23%
88-89°F
$370 交易量
13%
90-91°F
$543 交易量
5%
92-93°F
$71 交易量
2%
94°F或更高
$395 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas's highest temperature on April 16, with 84-85°F (31.5% implied probability) edging 86-87°F (29.5%) amid a persistent upper-level ridge fostering above-normal warmth following a record 95°F high at Dallas-Fort Worth Airport earlier this week. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show consensus peaks near 85°F, but diverge on afternoon cloud cover from patchy convection or weak disturbances, potentially capping heating in the 82-83°F range (15.5%) if showers materialize or allowing 88-89°F (12.5%) under clearer skies. Key differentiators include boundary layer mixing from south-southeasterly winds (10-15 mph) and low soil moisture from ongoing drought, boosting sensible heating; watch NWS updates this afternoon for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on official DFW observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
交易量
$3,639结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas's highest temperature on April 16, with 84-85°F (31.5% implied probability) edging 86-87°F (29.5%) amid a persistent upper-level ridge fostering above-normal warmth following a record 95°F high at Dallas-Fort Worth Airport earlier this week. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show consensus peaks near 85°F, but diverge on afternoon cloud cover from patchy convection or weak disturbances, potentially capping heating in the 82-83°F range (15.5%) if showers materialize or allowing 88-89°F (12.5%) under clearer skies. Key differentiators include boundary layer mixing from south-southeasterly winds (10-15 mph) and low soil moisture from ongoing drought, boosting sensible heating; watch NWS updates this afternoon for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on official DFW observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$3,639结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas's highest temperature on April 16, with 84-85°F (31.5% implied probability) edging 86-87°F (29.5%) amid a persistent upper-level ridge fostering above-normal warmth following a record 95°F high at Dallas-Fort Worth Airport earlier this week. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show consensus peaks near 85°F, but diverge on afternoon cloud cover from patchy convection or weak disturbances, potentially capping heating in the 82-83°F range (15.5%) if showers materialize or allowing 88-89°F (12.5%) under clearer skies. Key differentiators include boundary layer mixing from south-southeasterly winds (10-15 mph) and low soil moisture from ongoing drought, boosting sensible heating; watch NWS updates this afternoon for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on official DFW observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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