Current forecast models for Guangzhou indicate a highest temperature on June 26 most likely between 31–33°C, with trader-implied probabilities clustered tightly around these outcomes due to expected thundery showers and light winds from the south. High humidity and monsoon-season moisture will moderate daytime maxima, while steering patterns and precipitation timing introduce model spread that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Official guidance from regional meteorological centers highlights typical June climatology near 32°C, but recent runs show variability tied to convective activity. Updated model consensus and short-range forecasts in the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily high measurement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 26?
33°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$102,584 交易量
$102,584 交易量
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$102,584 交易量
$102,584 交易量
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 24, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Current forecast models for Guangzhou indicate a highest temperature on June 26 most likely between 31–33°C, with trader-implied probabilities clustered tightly around these outcomes due to expected thundery showers and light winds from the south. High humidity and monsoon-season moisture will moderate daytime maxima, while steering patterns and precipitation timing introduce model spread that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Official guidance from regional meteorological centers highlights typical June climatology near 32°C, but recent runs show variability tied to convective activity. Updated model consensus and short-range forecasts in the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily high measurement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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