Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs 21°C as Helsinki's highest temperature on May 2 (100% implied probability at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station), driven by official observations from the Finnish Meteorological Institute confirming this peak amid clear skies and southerly airflow that boosted daytime heating beyond early-May climatological averages of 14–16°C. Hourly data from automated surface stations validated the reading with no quality control flags, reflecting strong solar insolation and minimal cloud cover. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions for instrument calibration errors or metadata disputes over the exact resolution timestamp, though FMI protocols make such adjustments improbable once preliminary reports solidify. Next FMI daily summary expected within 24 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Helsinki on May 2?
21°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$99,345 交易量
$99,345 交易量
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$99,345 交易量
$99,345 交易量
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 30, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs 21°C as Helsinki's highest temperature on May 2 (100% implied probability at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station), driven by official observations from the Finnish Meteorological Institute confirming this peak amid clear skies and southerly airflow that boosted daytime heating beyond early-May climatological averages of 14–16°C. Hourly data from automated surface stations validated the reading with no quality control flags, reflecting strong solar insolation and minimal cloud cover. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions for instrument calibration errors or metadata disputes over the exact resolution timestamp, though FMI protocols make such adjustments improbable once preliminary reports solidify. Next FMI daily summary expected within 24 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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