Official observations from the Finnish Meteorological Institute at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station confirm the highest temperature on May 3 reached exactly 17°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome as final data validation occurred overnight. Leading up to resolution, ensemble forecast models including ECMWF and GFS converged on highs of 16–18°C, reflecting cool northerly airflow, persistent cloud cover, and light winds suppressing greater warming—conditions aligned with early May climatology where Helsinki averages 13–15°C but occasional peaks hit 17°C. While resolved, realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from quality control audits identifying sensor errors, though FMI's verification processes deem this highly improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Helsinki on May 3?
17°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$51,527 交易量
$51,527 交易量
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$51,527 交易量
$51,527 交易量
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 1, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official observations from the Finnish Meteorological Institute at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station confirm the highest temperature on May 3 reached exactly 17°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome as final data validation occurred overnight. Leading up to resolution, ensemble forecast models including ECMWF and GFS converged on highs of 16–18°C, reflecting cool northerly airflow, persistent cloud cover, and light winds suppressing greater warming—conditions aligned with early May climatology where Helsinki averages 13–15°C but occasional peaks hit 17°C. While resolved, realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from quality control audits identifying sensor errors, though FMI's verification processes deem this highly improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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