Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for Helsinki's highest temperature on May 4 reaching 13°C or higher at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station, driven by official Finnish Meteorological Institute observations already confirming midday peaks above this threshold amid a persistent high-pressure ridge bringing mild southerly flows. Hourly data from FMI stations, including Kumpula's early 14°C reading, align with ECMWF and GFS model consensus forecasting daytime highs of 14–16°C under sunny skies, well above early May climatological averages of 12–13°C. This positioning leaves minimal room for downside, though an unexpected cool frontal passage or station-specific measurement revision could theoretically challenge it before daily close; final resolution awaits end-of-day FMI/Wunderground archives.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Helsinki on May 4?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on May 4?
13°C or higher 100%
3°C or below <1%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
$45,773 交易量
$45,773 交易量
2026-05-04
3°C or below
No
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C or higher
Yes
13°C or higher 100%
3°C or below <1%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
$45,773 交易量
$45,773 交易量
2026-05-04
3°C or below
$600 交易量
No
4°C
$451 交易量
No
5°C
$1,551 交易量
No
6°C
$918 交易量
No
7°C
$2,844 交易量
No
8°C
$2,873 交易量
No
9°C
$3,073 交易量
No
10°C
$3,528 交易量
No
11°C
$4,029 交易量
No
12°C
$3,388 交易量
No
13°C or higher
$22,520 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for Helsinki's highest temperature on May 4 reaching 13°C or higher at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station, driven by official Finnish Meteorological Institute observations already confirming midday peaks above this threshold amid a persistent high-pressure ridge bringing mild southerly flows. Hourly data from FMI stations, including Kumpula's early 14°C reading, align with ECMWF and GFS model consensus forecasting daytime highs of 14–16°C under sunny skies, well above early May climatological averages of 12–13°C. This positioning leaves minimal room for downside, though an unexpected cool frontal passage or station-specific measurement revision could theoretically challenge it before daily close; final resolution awaits end-of-day FMI/Wunderground archives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
交易量
$45,773结束日期
2026-05-04市场开放时间
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for Helsinki's highest temperature on May 4 reaching 13°C or higher at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station, driven by official Finnish Meteorological Institute observations already confirming midday peaks above this threshold amid a persistent high-pressure ridge bringing mild southerly flows. Hourly data from FMI stations, including Kumpula's early 14°C reading, align with ECMWF and GFS model consensus forecasting daytime highs of 14–16°C under sunny skies, well above early May climatological averages of 12–13°C. This positioning leaves minimal room for downside, though an unexpected cool frontal passage or station-specific measurement revision could theoretically challenge it before daily close; final resolution awaits end-of-day FMI/Wunderground archives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$45,773结束日期
2026-05-04市场开放时间
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for Helsinki's highest temperature on May 4 reaching 13°C or higher at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station, driven by official Finnish Meteorological Institute observations already confirming midday peaks above this threshold amid a persistent high-pressure ridge bringing mild southerly flows. Hourly data from FMI stations, including Kumpula's early 14°C reading, align with ECMWF and GFS model consensus forecasting daytime highs of 14–16°C under sunny skies, well above early May climatological averages of 12–13°C. This positioning leaves minimal room for downside, though an unexpected cool frontal passage or station-specific measurement revision could theoretically challenge it before daily close; final resolution awaits end-of-day FMI/Wunderground archives.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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