Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) stations across Istanbul confirm the highest temperature reached 15°C midday under clear skies and light southerly winds around 12 km/h, aligning with forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS predicting limited warming in a stable high-pressure regime. Current evening readings show cooling toward 10°C post-sunset (around 19:45 local time), solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 15°C as the daily maximum per market resolution criteria. Realistic challenges include rare post-verification upward adjustments from peripheral stations or microclimate spikes, though uniform data trends make this improbable; final MGM daily summary expected within 24 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 19?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 19?
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$60,223 交易量
$60,223 交易量
2026-04-19
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$60,223 交易量
$60,223 交易量
2026-04-19
9°C or below
$1,526 交易量
No
10°C
$1,652 交易量
No
11°C
$2,208 交易量
No
12°C
$7,476 交易量
No
13°C
$3,906 交易量
No
14°C
$9,421 交易量
No
15°C
$9,362 交易量
Yes
16°C
$7,873 交易量
No
17°C
$7,203 交易量
No
18°C
$4,300 交易量
No
19°C or higher
$5,297 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) stations across Istanbul confirm the highest temperature reached 15°C midday under clear skies and light southerly winds around 12 km/h, aligning with forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS predicting limited warming in a stable high-pressure regime. Current evening readings show cooling toward 10°C post-sunset (around 19:45 local time), solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 15°C as the daily maximum per market resolution criteria. Realistic challenges include rare post-verification upward adjustments from peripheral stations or microclimate spikes, though uniform data trends make this improbable; final MGM daily summary expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 17, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
交易量
$60,223结束日期
2026-04-19市场开放时间
Apr 17, 2026, 12:37 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) stations across Istanbul confirm the highest temperature reached 15°C midday under clear skies and light southerly winds around 12 km/h, aligning with forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS predicting limited warming in a stable high-pressure regime. Current evening readings show cooling toward 10°C post-sunset (around 19:45 local time), solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 15°C as the daily maximum per market resolution criteria. Realistic challenges include rare post-verification upward adjustments from peripheral stations or microclimate spikes, though uniform data trends make this improbable; final MGM daily summary expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$60,223结束日期
2026-04-19市场开放时间
Apr 17, 2026, 12:37 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) stations across Istanbul confirm the highest temperature reached 15°C midday under clear skies and light southerly winds around 12 km/h, aligning with forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS predicting limited warming in a stable high-pressure regime. Current evening readings show cooling toward 10°C post-sunset (around 19:45 local time), solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 15°C as the daily maximum per market resolution criteria. Realistic challenges include rare post-verification upward adjustments from peripheral stations or microclimate spikes, though uniform data trends make this improbable; final MGM daily summary expected within 24 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题