Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project a high temperature near 15°C at Istanbul Airport on April 19, fueling trader consensus around 14°C (33.5% implied probability) and 15°C (24.5%), per AccuWeather and Meteoblue guidance showing 59-60°F (15°C) under partly cloudy skies. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover—patchy rain or thicker overcast from a lingering low-pressure system could cap peaks at 13-14°C via reduced insolation, while clearer intervals and southerly flows enable brief spikes to 16°C. Coastal sea breezes and urban heat island effects at the NOAA-monitored airport add microscale uncertainty; climatological mid-April highs average 16°C. Watch 00z/12z model updates April 17-18 for refinements ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 19?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 19?
14°C 34%
15°C 26%
13°C 20%
16°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-19
9°C or below
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
20%
14°C
34%
15°C
26%
16°C
14%
17°C
10%
18°C
6%
19°C or higher
1%
14°C 34%
15°C 26%
13°C 20%
16°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-19
9°C or below
$342 交易量
1%
10°C
$290 交易量
1%
11°C
$600 交易量
1%
12°C
$336 交易量
3%
13°C
$104 交易量
20%
14°C
$97 交易量
34%
15°C
$212 交易量
26%
16°C
$237 交易量
14%
17°C
$94 交易量
10%
18°C
$128 交易量
6%
19°C or higher
$213 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project a high temperature near 15°C at Istanbul Airport on April 19, fueling trader consensus around 14°C (33.5% implied probability) and 15°C (24.5%), per AccuWeather and Meteoblue guidance showing 59-60°F (15°C) under partly cloudy skies. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover—patchy rain or thicker overcast from a lingering low-pressure system could cap peaks at 13-14°C via reduced insolation, while clearer intervals and southerly flows enable brief spikes to 16°C. Coastal sea breezes and urban heat island effects at the NOAA-monitored airport add microscale uncertainty; climatological mid-April highs average 16°C. Watch 00z/12z model updates April 17-18 for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 17, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
交易量
$2,644结束日期
2026-04-19市场开放时间
Apr 17, 2026, 12:37 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project a high temperature near 15°C at Istanbul Airport on April 19, fueling trader consensus around 14°C (33.5% implied probability) and 15°C (24.5%), per AccuWeather and Meteoblue guidance showing 59-60°F (15°C) under partly cloudy skies. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover—patchy rain or thicker overcast from a lingering low-pressure system could cap peaks at 13-14°C via reduced insolation, while clearer intervals and southerly flows enable brief spikes to 16°C. Coastal sea breezes and urban heat island effects at the NOAA-monitored airport add microscale uncertainty; climatological mid-April highs average 16°C. Watch 00z/12z model updates April 17-18 for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$2,644结束日期
2026-04-19市场开放时间
Apr 17, 2026, 12:37 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project a high temperature near 15°C at Istanbul Airport on April 19, fueling trader consensus around 14°C (33.5% implied probability) and 15°C (24.5%), per AccuWeather and Meteoblue guidance showing 59-60°F (15°C) under partly cloudy skies. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover—patchy rain or thicker overcast from a lingering low-pressure system could cap peaks at 13-14°C via reduced insolation, while clearer intervals and southerly flows enable brief spikes to 16°C. Coastal sea breezes and urban heat island effects at the NOAA-monitored airport add microscale uncertainty; climatological mid-April highs average 16°C. Watch 00z/12z model updates April 17-18 for refinements ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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