Official observations from Indonesia's Badan Meteorologi, Klimatologi, dan Geofisika (BMKG) stations in Jakarta, including key sites like Halim Perdanakusuma and Kemayoran, recorded a maximum temperature of 33°C on May 2, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with early May climatological norms, where daily highs average 32–34°C amid the transitioning dry season, strengthened by easterly monsoon flows and limited cloud cover despite scattered thunderstorms that capped further intensification. Trader consensus reflects verified hourly data releases, embodying skin-in-the-game assessment of measurement standards. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc revisions from auxiliary stations or urban heat island adjustments exceeding 33°C, though BMKG's standardized protocols make this improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 2?
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$127,165 交易量
$127,165 交易量
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$127,165 交易量
$127,165 交易量
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 30, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official observations from Indonesia's Badan Meteorologi, Klimatologi, dan Geofisika (BMKG) stations in Jakarta, including key sites like Halim Perdanakusuma and Kemayoran, recorded a maximum temperature of 33°C on May 2, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with early May climatological norms, where daily highs average 32–34°C amid the transitioning dry season, strengthened by easterly monsoon flows and limited cloud cover despite scattered thunderstorms that capped further intensification. Trader consensus reflects verified hourly data releases, embodying skin-in-the-game assessment of measurement standards. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc revisions from auxiliary stations or urban heat island adjustments exceeding 33°C, though BMKG's standardized protocols make this improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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