Official measurements from the King Abdulaziz International Airport meteorological station—the market's resolution source—confirm Jeddah's highest temperature on May 9 reached exactly 35°C, locking in trader consensus at a 100% implied probability. This matches pre-event forecast consensus from models like those powering AccuWeather and Weather.com, which projected highs near 35°C under mostly sunny skies and light winds typical of early May climatology, when regional averages hover around 36°C but recent cloudy patterns slightly moderated heat buildup. Scenarios challenging this would involve rare post-validation data revisions by Saudi Arabia's National Center for Meteorology (NCM), such as instrument recalibration errors, though historical precedents show such adjustments occur in under 1% of cases.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 9?
35°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$45,162 交易量
$45,162 交易量
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$45,162 交易量
$45,162 交易量
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 7, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official measurements from the King Abdulaziz International Airport meteorological station—the market's resolution source—confirm Jeddah's highest temperature on May 9 reached exactly 35°C, locking in trader consensus at a 100% implied probability. This matches pre-event forecast consensus from models like those powering AccuWeather and Weather.com, which projected highs near 35°C under mostly sunny skies and light winds typical of early May climatology, when regional averages hover around 36°C but recent cloudy patterns slightly moderated heat buildup. Scenarios challenging this would involve rare post-validation data revisions by Saudi Arabia's National Center for Meteorology (NCM), such as instrument recalibration errors, though historical precedents show such adjustments occur in under 1% of cases.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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