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icon for 7月2日吉隆坡气温最高?

7月2日吉隆坡气温最高?

icon for 7月2日吉隆坡气温最高?

7月2日吉隆坡气温最高?

32°C 100.0%

26°C或以下 <1%

27°C <1%

28°C <1%

Polymarket

$74,453 交易量

32°C 100.0%

26°C或以下 <1%

27°C <1%

28°C <1%

Polymarket

$74,453 交易量

26°C或以下

$3,183 交易量

27°C

$2,235 交易量

28°C

$2,600 交易量

29°C

$11,591 交易量

30°C

$6,003 交易量

31°C

$11,811 交易量

32°C

$14,710 交易量

33°C

$7,481 交易量

34°C

$3,517 交易量

35°C

$8,028 交易量

36°C或更高

$3,292 交易量

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Kuala Lumpur’s July 2 daily maximum temperature centers on 31–33°C because these values align closely with the city’s long-term July climatology of roughly 32°C daytime highs amid its equatorial monsoon regime.** Current short-range guidance from models and agencies such as the Malaysian Meteorological Department and international ensembles shows a typical pattern of morning clearing followed by afternoon convective build-up, which often caps the peak near 32°C but allows brief excursions to 33–34°C on days with reduced cloud cover or stronger insolation. Recent late-June observations, with highs near 29–30°C under more persistent showers, have kept probabilities from concentrating on any single value, leaving 32°C as the modal outcome at 28% implied probability while 33°C and 31°C trail closely. Key differentiating variables in the final 48–72 hours include the timing and coverage of thundershowers (which reduce surface heating), boundary-layer moisture and wind direction tied to the prevailing southwesterly flow, and the urban heat-island amplification within the Klang Valley. Historical analogs for early July indicate that deviations beyond ±2°C from the mean are uncommon without a significant shift in the monsoon trough or an unusually clear day, explaining why tails below 30°C or at 35°C+ remain below 5–6%. New model runs and updated official forecasts over the next two days will likely tighten the distribution around these central outcomes.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$74,453
结束日期
2026-07-02
市场开放时间
Jun 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Kuala Lumpur’s July 2 daily maximum temperature centers on 31–33°C because these values align closely with the city’s long-term July climatology of roughly 32°C daytime highs amid its equatorial monsoon regime.** Current short-range guidance from models and agencies such as the Malaysian Meteorological Department and international ensembles shows a typical pattern of morning clearing followed by afternoon convective build-up, which often caps the peak near 32°C but allows brief excursions to 33–34°C on days with reduced cloud cover or stronger insolation. Recent late-June observations, with highs near 29–30°C under more persistent showers, have kept probabilities from concentrating on any single value, leaving 32°C as the modal outcome at 28% implied probability while 33°C and 31°C trail closely. Key differentiating variables in the final 48–72 hours include the timing and coverage of thundershowers (which reduce surface heating), boundary-layer moisture and wind direction tied to the prevailing southwesterly flow, and the urban heat-island amplification within the Klang Valley. Historical analogs for early July indicate that deviations beyond ±2°C from the mean are uncommon without a significant shift in the monsoon trough or an unusually clear day, explaining why tails below 30°C or at 35°C+ remain below 5–6%. New model runs and updated official forecasts over the next two days will likely tighten the distribution around these central outcomes.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$74,453
结束日期
2026-07-02
市场开放时间
Jun 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"7月2日吉隆坡气温最高?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 11 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"32°C",概率为 100%,其次是"26°C或以下",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"7月2日吉隆坡气温最高?"已产生 $74.5K 的总交易量(自Jun 30, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"7月2日吉隆坡气温最高?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 11 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"7月2日吉隆坡气温最高?"的当前领先者是"32°C",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"26°C或以下",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"7月2日吉隆坡气温最高?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。