Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM), as archived by Weather Underground—the market's designated resolution source—confirm Lagos's highest temperature on May 8 reached exactly 29°C, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability. This outcome aligns with the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet)'s daily bulletin forecasting isolated thunderstorms and moderate rainfall across southern Nigeria, including Lagos, which boosted cloud cover, high humidity, and gusty winds to suppress peak heating below the May climatological average of 31.5°C during the wet season onset. Realistic challenges would require a rare revision to the airport's METAR records or NiMet-validated correction from an alternative official station, though such discrepancies are exceedingly uncommon post-verification. Traders await no further updates, as the event has resolved.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Lagos on May 8?
Highest temperature in Lagos on May 8?
29°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
30°C <1%
$122,208 交易量
$122,208 交易量
2026-05-08
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
30°C <1%
$122,208 交易量
$122,208 交易量
2026-05-08
27°C or below
$8,272 交易量
No
28°C
$51,693 交易量
No
29°C
$12,535 交易量
Yes
30°C
$6,481 交易量
No
31°C
$13,113 交易量
No
32°C
$6,100 交易量
No
33°C
$4,603 交易量
No
34°C
$3,432 交易量
No
35°C
$6,992 交易量
No
36°C
$2,492 交易量
No
37°C or higher
$6,494 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM), as archived by Weather Underground—the market's designated resolution source—confirm Lagos's highest temperature on May 8 reached exactly 29°C, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability. This outcome aligns with the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet)'s daily bulletin forecasting isolated thunderstorms and moderate rainfall across southern Nigeria, including Lagos, which boosted cloud cover, high humidity, and gusty winds to suppress peak heating below the May climatological average of 31.5°C during the wet season onset. Realistic challenges would require a rare revision to the airport's METAR records or NiMet-validated correction from an alternative official station, though such discrepancies are exceedingly uncommon post-verification. Traders await no further updates, as the event has resolved.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 6, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
交易量
$122,208结束日期
2026-05-08市场开放时间
May 6, 2026, 12:16 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM), as archived by Weather Underground—the market's designated resolution source—confirm Lagos's highest temperature on May 8 reached exactly 29°C, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability. This outcome aligns with the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet)'s daily bulletin forecasting isolated thunderstorms and moderate rainfall across southern Nigeria, including Lagos, which boosted cloud cover, high humidity, and gusty winds to suppress peak heating below the May climatological average of 31.5°C during the wet season onset. Realistic challenges would require a rare revision to the airport's METAR records or NiMet-validated correction from an alternative official station, though such discrepancies are exceedingly uncommon post-verification. Traders await no further updates, as the event has resolved.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$122,208结束日期
2026-05-08市场开放时间
May 6, 2026, 12:16 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM), as archived by Weather Underground—the market's designated resolution source—confirm Lagos's highest temperature on May 8 reached exactly 29°C, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability. This outcome aligns with the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet)'s daily bulletin forecasting isolated thunderstorms and moderate rainfall across southern Nigeria, including Lagos, which boosted cloud cover, high humidity, and gusty winds to suppress peak heating below the May climatological average of 31.5°C during the wet season onset. Realistic challenges would require a rare revision to the airport's METAR records or NiMet-validated correction from an alternative official station, though such discrepancies are exceedingly uncommon post-verification. Traders await no further updates, as the event has resolved.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题