**Trader sentiment for Lucknow's June 18, 2026, peak temperature centers on 39–41°C outcomes (combined ~79% implied probability), reflecting consensus forecasts from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and models showing highs in the low-to-mid 40s Celsius amid ongoing pre-monsoon heat.** Clear skies, strong solar insolation, and light westerly winds across the Indo-Gangetic plain favor maximum daytime heating, while Lucknow's urban heat island effect adds 1–3°C locally. Recent IMD observations and short-range guidance indicate persistent above-normal temperatures (recent peaks near 42°C), with no significant cloud cover or monsoon moisture intrusion expected to moderate conditions on the 18th. Slightly lower probabilities for 42°C+ account for forecast uncertainty in exact peak timing and any isolated convective activity, while cooler bins remain marginal given climatological baselines and current heatwave persistence. Updated model runs and IMD bulletins on the day will be key data points for traders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月18日勒克瑙的最高温度？
6月18日勒克瑙的最高温度？
40°C 100.0%
32°C或以下 <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$58,126 交易量
$58,126 交易量
2026-06-18
32°C或以下
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C
否
38°C
否
39°C
否
40°C
是
41°C
否
42°C及以上
否
40°C 100.0%
32°C或以下 <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$58,126 交易量
$58,126 交易量
2026-06-18
32°C或以下
$626 交易量
否
33°C
$796 交易量
否
34°C
$2,207 交易量
否
35°C
$1,649 交易量
否
36°C
$3,768 交易量
否
37°C
$4,817 交易量
否
38°C
$6,349 交易量
否
39°C
$12,222 交易量
否
40°C
$9,916 交易量
是
41°C
$5,939 交易量
否
42°C及以上
$9,837 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Lucknow's June 18, 2026, peak temperature centers on 39–41°C outcomes (combined ~79% implied probability), reflecting consensus forecasts from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and models showing highs in the low-to-mid 40s Celsius amid ongoing pre-monsoon heat.**
Clear skies, strong solar insolation, and light westerly winds across the Indo-Gangetic plain favor maximum daytime heating, while Lucknow's urban heat island effect adds 1–3°C locally. Recent IMD observations and short-range guidance indicate persistent above-normal temperatures (recent peaks near 42°C), with no significant cloud cover or monsoon moisture intrusion expected to moderate conditions on the 18th.
Slightly lower probabilities for 42°C+ account for forecast uncertainty in exact peak timing and any isolated convective activity, while cooler bins remain marginal given climatological baselines and current heatwave persistence. Updated model runs and IMD bulletins on the day will be key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 16, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
交易量
$58,126结束日期
2026-06-18市场开放时间
Jun 16, 2026, 1:04 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Lucknow's June 18, 2026, peak temperature centers on 39–41°C outcomes (combined ~79% implied probability), reflecting consensus forecasts from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and models showing highs in the low-to-mid 40s Celsius amid ongoing pre-monsoon heat.**
Clear skies, strong solar insolation, and light westerly winds across the Indo-Gangetic plain favor maximum daytime heating, while Lucknow's urban heat island effect adds 1–3°C locally. Recent IMD observations and short-range guidance indicate persistent above-normal temperatures (recent peaks near 42°C), with no significant cloud cover or monsoon moisture intrusion expected to moderate conditions on the 18th.
Slightly lower probabilities for 42°C+ account for forecast uncertainty in exact peak timing and any isolated convective activity, while cooler bins remain marginal given climatological baselines and current heatwave persistence. Updated model runs and IMD bulletins on the day will be key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$58,126结束日期
2026-06-18市场开放时间
Jun 16, 2026, 1:04 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
**Trader sentiment for Lucknow's June 18, 2026, peak temperature centers on 39–41°C outcomes (combined ~79% implied probability), reflecting consensus forecasts from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and models showing highs in the low-to-mid 40s Celsius amid ongoing pre-monsoon heat.** Clear skies, strong solar insolation, and light westerly winds across the Indo-Gangetic plain favor maximum daytime heating, while Lucknow's urban heat island effect adds 1–3°C locally. Recent IMD observations and short-range guidance indicate persistent above-normal temperatures (recent peaks near 42°C), with no significant cloud cover or monsoon moisture intrusion expected to moderate conditions on the 18th. Slightly lower probabilities for 42°C+ account for forecast uncertainty in exact peak timing and any isolated convective activity, while cooler bins remain marginal given climatological baselines and current heatwave persistence. Updated model runs and IMD bulletins on the day will be key data points for traders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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