Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department project a maximum of 41°C in Lucknow on June 9 under clear skies and light westerly winds typical of pre-monsoon conditions, driving the near-certain market-implied odds for that exact outcome. This aligns with historical early-June averages of 38–42°C and recent observational trends showing above-normal temperatures by 2–3°C across Uttar Pradesh without significant moisture influx or convective activity to moderate peaks. Model consensus supports limited variability, though any unexpected afternoon cloud build-up or localized showers could shift the recorded high by 1°C at the official station, representing the primary realistic uncertainty before final verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Lucknow on June 9?
41°C 100.0%
40°C or below <1%
42°C <1%
43°C <1%
$44,037 交易量
$44,037 交易量
40°C or below
No
41°C
Yes
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C
No
48°C
No
49°C
No
50°C or higher
No
41°C 100.0%
40°C or below <1%
42°C <1%
43°C <1%
$44,037 交易量
$44,037 交易量
40°C or below
No
41°C
Yes
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C
No
48°C
No
49°C
No
50°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 7, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department project a maximum of 41°C in Lucknow on June 9 under clear skies and light westerly winds typical of pre-monsoon conditions, driving the near-certain market-implied odds for that exact outcome. This aligns with historical early-June averages of 38–42°C and recent observational trends showing above-normal temperatures by 2–3°C across Uttar Pradesh without significant moisture influx or convective activity to moderate peaks. Model consensus supports limited variability, though any unexpected afternoon cloud build-up or localized showers could shift the recorded high by 1°C at the official station, representing the primary realistic uncertainty before final verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题