Official India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature on May 1, 2026, peaked at 33.3°C—6.1°C below seasonal norms—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for "34°C or below." This unusually cool reading for early May stems from partly cloudy skies and possible light precipitation from a recent western disturbance, which curtailed solar insolation and daytime atmospheric heating despite forecasts anticipating around 37°C. With the 24-hour observation window closed, market resolution hinges on IMD's final verified data from Lucknow Airport station; upward revisions are improbable absent measurement errors, though extreme late-day spikes could theoretically challenge it if unrecorded. Traders eye IMD's daily bulletin for closure.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 1?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 1?
34°C or below 100.0%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
$84,912 交易量
$84,912 交易量
2026-05-01
34°C or below
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C or higher
No
34°C or below 100.0%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
$84,912 交易量
$84,912 交易量
2026-05-01
34°C or below
$14,386 交易量
Yes
35°C
$5,560 交易量
No
36°C
$8,898 交易量
No
37°C
$8,225 交易量
No
38°C
$13,112 交易量
No
39°C
$14,709 交易量
No
40°C
$12,622 交易量
No
41°C
$2,834 交易量
No
42°C
$1,001 交易量
No
43°C
$1,185 交易量
No
44°C or higher
$2,381 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature on May 1, 2026, peaked at 33.3°C—6.1°C below seasonal norms—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for "34°C or below." This unusually cool reading for early May stems from partly cloudy skies and possible light precipitation from a recent western disturbance, which curtailed solar insolation and daytime atmospheric heating despite forecasts anticipating around 37°C. With the 24-hour observation window closed, market resolution hinges on IMD's final verified data from Lucknow Airport station; upward revisions are improbable absent measurement errors, though extreme late-day spikes could theoretically challenge it if unrecorded. Traders eye IMD's daily bulletin for closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$84,912结束日期
2026-05-01市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature on May 1, 2026, peaked at 33.3°C—6.1°C below seasonal norms—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for "34°C or below." This unusually cool reading for early May stems from partly cloudy skies and possible light precipitation from a recent western disturbance, which curtailed solar insolation and daytime atmospheric heating despite forecasts anticipating around 37°C. With the 24-hour observation window closed, market resolution hinges on IMD's final verified data from Lucknow Airport station; upward revisions are improbable absent measurement errors, though extreme late-day spikes could theoretically challenge it if unrecorded. Traders eye IMD's daily bulletin for closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$84,912结束日期
2026-05-01市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
Official India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature on May 1, 2026, peaked at 33.3°C—6.1°C below seasonal norms—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for "34°C or below." This unusually cool reading for early May stems from partly cloudy skies and possible light precipitation from a recent western disturbance, which curtailed solar insolation and daytime atmospheric heating despite forecasts anticipating around 37°C. With the 24-hour observation window closed, market resolution hinges on IMD's final verified data from Lucknow Airport station; upward revisions are improbable absent measurement errors, though extreme late-day spikes could theoretically challenge it if unrecorded. Traders eye IMD's daily bulletin for closure.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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