Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's (SMN) latest forecast, issued May 9 at 06:00, projects a 27-29°C maximum temperature for Mexico City at Benito Juárez International Airport—the market's resolution station—driving the 100% trader consensus on 24°C or higher. This positioning stems from persistent high-pressure ridging fostering clear skies and intense daytime solar heating, typical of May's climatological peak (historical averages ~26°C) despite the city's 2,240-meter elevation moderating extremes. Recent observational data shows morning temperatures already approaching 24°C under light winds, with NOAA model ensembles confirming low cloud cover. Realistic challenges include afternoon chubascos or granizo reducing insolation, though satellite imagery indicates minimal risk; intraday airport METAR reports will provide final confirmation as heating peaks mid-afternoon.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 9?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 9?
24°C or higher 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$60,441 交易量
$60,441 交易量
2026-05-09
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
Yes
24°C or higher 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$60,441 交易量
$60,441 交易量
2026-05-09
14°C or below
$6,807 交易量
No
15°C
$4,732 交易量
No
16°C
$4,306 交易量
No
17°C
$2,375 交易量
No
18°C
$2,724 交易量
No
19°C
$2,372 交易量
No
20°C
$504 交易量
No
21°C
$15,759 交易量
No
22°C
$5,451 交易量
No
23°C
$4,862 交易量
No
24°C or higher
$10,549 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's (SMN) latest forecast, issued May 9 at 06:00, projects a 27-29°C maximum temperature for Mexico City at Benito Juárez International Airport—the market's resolution station—driving the 100% trader consensus on 24°C or higher. This positioning stems from persistent high-pressure ridging fostering clear skies and intense daytime solar heating, typical of May's climatological peak (historical averages ~26°C) despite the city's 2,240-meter elevation moderating extremes. Recent observational data shows morning temperatures already approaching 24°C under light winds, with NOAA model ensembles confirming low cloud cover. Realistic challenges include afternoon chubascos or granizo reducing insolation, though satellite imagery indicates minimal risk; intraday airport METAR reports will provide final confirmation as heating peaks mid-afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
交易量
$60,441结束日期
2026-05-09市场开放时间
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's (SMN) latest forecast, issued May 9 at 06:00, projects a 27-29°C maximum temperature for Mexico City at Benito Juárez International Airport—the market's resolution station—driving the 100% trader consensus on 24°C or higher. This positioning stems from persistent high-pressure ridging fostering clear skies and intense daytime solar heating, typical of May's climatological peak (historical averages ~26°C) despite the city's 2,240-meter elevation moderating extremes. Recent observational data shows morning temperatures already approaching 24°C under light winds, with NOAA model ensembles confirming low cloud cover. Realistic challenges include afternoon chubascos or granizo reducing insolation, though satellite imagery indicates minimal risk; intraday airport METAR reports will provide final confirmation as heating peaks mid-afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$60,441结束日期
2026-05-09市场开放时间
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's (SMN) latest forecast, issued May 9 at 06:00, projects a 27-29°C maximum temperature for Mexico City at Benito Juárez International Airport—the market's resolution station—driving the 100% trader consensus on 24°C or higher. This positioning stems from persistent high-pressure ridging fostering clear skies and intense daytime solar heating, typical of May's climatological peak (historical averages ~26°C) despite the city's 2,240-meter elevation moderating extremes. Recent observational data shows morning temperatures already approaching 24°C under light winds, with NOAA model ensembles confirming low cloud cover. Realistic challenges include afternoon chubascos or granizo reducing insolation, though satellite imagery indicates minimal risk; intraday airport METAR reports will provide final confirmation as heating peaks mid-afternoon.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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