Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a peak temperature in the mid-90s for Miami on July 30, aligning with the market’s 44% implied probability for 94–95 °F. Late-July subtropical conditions, including high moisture content and limited sea-breeze cooling under light steering flow, routinely support daytime maxima near or slightly above the 90 °F July climatological average. The 2026 season’s elevated heat-index accumulation—already exceeding prior records through late July—reflects persistent warm advection that has kept daily highs in the low-to-mid 90s, sustaining trader preference for the upper end of the distribution. Shorter-range model updates expected overnight will refine wind and cloud-cover details that can shift the final observed maximum by 1–2 °F.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月30日迈阿密气温最高？
7月30日迈阿密气温最高？
94-95°F 45%
92-93°F 23%
96-97°F 21%
88-89°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-07-30
85°F或以下
1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
9%
90-91°F
9%
92-93°F
23%
94-95°F
45%
96-97°F
21%
98-99°F
5%
100-101°F
2%
102-103°F
1%
104°F或更高
1%
94-95°F 45%
92-93°F 23%
96-97°F 21%
88-89°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-07-30
85°F或以下
$0 交易量
1%
86-87°F
$17 交易量
2%
88-89°F
$20 交易量
9%
90-91°F
$43 交易量
9%
92-93°F
$167 交易量
23%
94-95°F
$560 交易量
45%
96-97°F
$179 交易量
21%
98-99°F
$126 交易量
5%
100-101°F
$567 交易量
2%
102-103°F
$0 交易量
1%
104°F或更高
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a peak temperature in the mid-90s for Miami on July 30, aligning with the market’s 44% implied probability for 94–95 °F. Late-July subtropical conditions, including high moisture content and limited sea-breeze cooling under light steering flow, routinely support daytime maxima near or slightly above the 90 °F July climatological average. The 2026 season’s elevated heat-index accumulation—already exceeding prior records through late July—reflects persistent warm advection that has kept daily highs in the low-to-mid 90s, sustaining trader preference for the upper end of the distribution. Shorter-range model updates expected overnight will refine wind and cloud-cover details that can shift the final observed maximum by 1–2 °F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 28, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$1,680结束日期
2026-07-30市场开放时间
Jul 28, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a peak temperature in the mid-90s for Miami on July 30, aligning with the market’s 44% implied probability for 94–95 °F. Late-July subtropical conditions, including high moisture content and limited sea-breeze cooling under light steering flow, routinely support daytime maxima near or slightly above the 90 °F July climatological average. The 2026 season’s elevated heat-index accumulation—already exceeding prior records through late July—reflects persistent warm advection that has kept daily highs in the low-to-mid 90s, sustaining trader preference for the upper end of the distribution. Shorter-range model updates expected overnight will refine wind and cloud-cover details that can shift the final observed maximum by 1–2 °F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,680结束日期
2026-07-30市场开放时间
Jul 28, 2026, 9:03 PM ETRecent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a peak temperature in the mid-90s for Miami on July 30, aligning with the market’s 44% implied probability for 94–95 °F. Late-July subtropical conditions, including high moisture content and limited sea-breeze cooling under light steering flow, routinely support daytime maxima near or slightly above the 90 °F July climatological average. The 2026 season’s elevated heat-index accumulation—already exceeding prior records through late July—reflects persistent warm advection that has kept daily highs in the low-to-mid 90s, sustaining trader preference for the upper end of the distribution. Shorter-range model updates expected overnight will refine wind and cloud-cover details that can shift the final observed maximum by 1–2 °F.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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