Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 90-91°F at 100% implied probability for Miami's highest temperature on May 7, 2026, driven by National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recording a peak of 91°F around 1:50 p.m. EDT amid a persistent upper-level high-pressure ridge that suppressed cloud cover, maximized solar insolation, and yielded above-normal afternoon heating—well above the May climatological average of 86°F. Real-time ASOS data confirms this positioning, with no higher readings through sunset. Realistic challenges would require a rare preliminary data correction in the forthcoming daily climatological report (CLI), though model forecasts and analogs aligned closely with this outcome. Final NWS verification expected within 24 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Miami on May 7?
Highest temperature in Miami on May 7?
90-91°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$82,491 交易量
$82,491 交易量
2026-05-07
79°F or below
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
Yes
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98°F or higher
No
90-91°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$82,491 交易量
$82,491 交易量
2026-05-07
79°F or below
$1,789 交易量
No
80-81°F
$1,104 交易量
No
82-83°F
$2,601 交易量
No
84-85°F
$7,539 交易量
No
86-87°F
$10,512 交易量
No
88-89°F
$8,273 交易量
No
90-91°F
$14,526 交易量
Yes
92-93°F
$10,417 交易量
No
94-95°F
$9,157 交易量
No
96-97°F
$10,658 交易量
No
98°F or higher
$5,915 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 90-91°F at 100% implied probability for Miami's highest temperature on May 7, 2026, driven by National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recording a peak of 91°F around 1:50 p.m. EDT amid a persistent upper-level high-pressure ridge that suppressed cloud cover, maximized solar insolation, and yielded above-normal afternoon heating—well above the May climatological average of 86°F. Real-time ASOS data confirms this positioning, with no higher readings through sunset. Realistic challenges would require a rare preliminary data correction in the forthcoming daily climatological report (CLI), though model forecasts and analogs aligned closely with this outcome. Final NWS verification expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 5, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
交易量
$82,491结束日期
2026-05-07市场开放时间
May 5, 2026, 12:27 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 90-91°F at 100% implied probability for Miami's highest temperature on May 7, 2026, driven by National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recording a peak of 91°F around 1:50 p.m. EDT amid a persistent upper-level high-pressure ridge that suppressed cloud cover, maximized solar insolation, and yielded above-normal afternoon heating—well above the May climatological average of 86°F. Real-time ASOS data confirms this positioning, with no higher readings through sunset. Realistic challenges would require a rare preliminary data correction in the forthcoming daily climatological report (CLI), though model forecasts and analogs aligned closely with this outcome. Final NWS verification expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$82,491结束日期
2026-05-07市场开放时间
May 5, 2026, 12:27 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 90-91°F at 100% implied probability for Miami's highest temperature on May 7, 2026, driven by National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recording a peak of 91°F around 1:50 p.m. EDT amid a persistent upper-level high-pressure ridge that suppressed cloud cover, maximized solar insolation, and yielded above-normal afternoon heating—well above the May climatological average of 86°F. Real-time ASOS data confirms this positioning, with no higher readings through sunset. Realistic challenges would require a rare preliminary data correction in the forthcoming daily climatological report (CLI), though model forecasts and analogs aligned closely with this outcome. Final NWS verification expected within 24 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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