Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight clustering of major weather models—ECMWF, GFS, and DWD's ICON—implying Munich highs near 19°C on April 17, driven by a high-pressure ridge over Central Europe ushering mild southerly flow and partial sunshine after recent cooler, showery conditions. The 32% edge for 19°C stems from DWD's latest high-resolution guidance favoring moderated warming under partly cloudy skies, while 20°C (24.5%) gains from GFS ensembles showing stronger surface heating potential and 18°C (21%) from ECMWF's cooler bias amid lingering cloud decks. Historical mid-April averages hover at 14–15°C, but this setup exceeds norms; uncertainty persists in model spread (±2°C) and exact insolation, with overnight updates from the Deutscher Wetterdienst likely to sharpen odds before resolution at Munich Airport station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Munich on April 17?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 17?
19°C 32%
18°C 28%
20°C 24%
21°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-04-17
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
5%
16°C
3%
17°C
9%
18°C
21%
19°C
32%
20°C
24%
21°C
13%
22°C or higher
7%
19°C 32%
18°C 28%
20°C 24%
21°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-04-17
12°C or below
$310 交易量
1%
13°C
$410 交易量
1%
14°C
$45 交易量
2%
15°C
$0 交易量
5%
16°C
$140 交易量
3%
17°C
$35 交易量
9%
18°C
$4 交易量
21%
19°C
$61 交易量
32%
20°C
$26 交易量
24%
21°C
$12 交易量
13%
22°C or higher
$15 交易量
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight clustering of major weather models—ECMWF, GFS, and DWD's ICON—implying Munich highs near 19°C on April 17, driven by a high-pressure ridge over Central Europe ushering mild southerly flow and partial sunshine after recent cooler, showery conditions. The 32% edge for 19°C stems from DWD's latest high-resolution guidance favoring moderated warming under partly cloudy skies, while 20°C (24.5%) gains from GFS ensembles showing stronger surface heating potential and 18°C (21%) from ECMWF's cooler bias amid lingering cloud decks. Historical mid-April averages hover at 14–15°C, but this setup exceeds norms; uncertainty persists in model spread (±2°C) and exact insolation, with overnight updates from the Deutscher Wetterdienst likely to sharpen odds before resolution at Munich Airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$1,058结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight clustering of major weather models—ECMWF, GFS, and DWD's ICON—implying Munich highs near 19°C on April 17, driven by a high-pressure ridge over Central Europe ushering mild southerly flow and partial sunshine after recent cooler, showery conditions. The 32% edge for 19°C stems from DWD's latest high-resolution guidance favoring moderated warming under partly cloudy skies, while 20°C (24.5%) gains from GFS ensembles showing stronger surface heating potential and 18°C (21%) from ECMWF's cooler bias amid lingering cloud decks. Historical mid-April averages hover at 14–15°C, but this setup exceeds norms; uncertainty persists in model spread (±2°C) and exact insolation, with overnight updates from the Deutscher Wetterdienst likely to sharpen odds before resolution at Munich Airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,058结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight clustering of major weather models—ECMWF, GFS, and DWD's ICON—implying Munich highs near 19°C on April 17, driven by a high-pressure ridge over Central Europe ushering mild southerly flow and partial sunshine after recent cooler, showery conditions. The 32% edge for 19°C stems from DWD's latest high-resolution guidance favoring moderated warming under partly cloudy skies, while 20°C (24.5%) gains from GFS ensembles showing stronger surface heating potential and 18°C (21%) from ECMWF's cooler bias amid lingering cloud decks. Historical mid-April averages hover at 14–15°C, but this setup exceeds norms; uncertainty persists in model spread (±2°C) and exact insolation, with overnight updates from the Deutscher Wetterdienst likely to sharpen odds before resolution at Munich Airport station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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