Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) that Munich's highest temperature at the airport station (EDDM) on May 3 will reach 26°C or higher, driven by mid-afternoon observations already hitting 26°C under sunny skies and light winds, as reported by BBC Weather. Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD), ECMWF, and GFS model ensembles confirm daily highs of 26-27°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and fostering adiabatic warming—far exceeding early May climatological norms around 18°C. Realistic challenges include sudden marine inflow or unforecasted cloudiness capping peaks at 25°C, though strong model agreement and current data render this unlikely; final Wunderground readings will resolve post-midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Munich on May 3?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 3?
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$41,227 交易量
$41,227 交易量
2026-05-03
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
Yes
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$41,227 交易量
$41,227 交易量
2026-05-03
16°C or below
$2,251 交易量
No
17°C
$2,270 交易量
No
18°C
$1,319 交易量
No
19°C
$1,479 交易量
No
20°C
$1,559 交易量
No
21°C
$2,557 交易量
No
22°C
$2,198 交易量
No
23°C
$4,631 交易量
No
24°C
$6,498 交易量
No
25°C
$8,339 交易量
No
26°C or higher
$8,127 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) that Munich's highest temperature at the airport station (EDDM) on May 3 will reach 26°C or higher, driven by mid-afternoon observations already hitting 26°C under sunny skies and light winds, as reported by BBC Weather. Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD), ECMWF, and GFS model ensembles confirm daily highs of 26-27°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and fostering adiabatic warming—far exceeding early May climatological norms around 18°C. Realistic challenges include sudden marine inflow or unforecasted cloudiness capping peaks at 25°C, though strong model agreement and current data render this unlikely; final Wunderground readings will resolve post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 1, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
交易量
$41,227结束日期
2026-05-03市场开放时间
May 1, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) that Munich's highest temperature at the airport station (EDDM) on May 3 will reach 26°C or higher, driven by mid-afternoon observations already hitting 26°C under sunny skies and light winds, as reported by BBC Weather. Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD), ECMWF, and GFS model ensembles confirm daily highs of 26-27°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and fostering adiabatic warming—far exceeding early May climatological norms around 18°C. Realistic challenges include sudden marine inflow or unforecasted cloudiness capping peaks at 25°C, though strong model agreement and current data render this unlikely; final Wunderground readings will resolve post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$41,227结束日期
2026-05-03市场开放时间
May 1, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) that Munich's highest temperature at the airport station (EDDM) on May 3 will reach 26°C or higher, driven by mid-afternoon observations already hitting 26°C under sunny skies and light winds, as reported by BBC Weather. Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD), ECMWF, and GFS model ensembles confirm daily highs of 26-27°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and fostering adiabatic warming—far exceeding early May climatological norms around 18°C. Realistic challenges include sudden marine inflow or unforecasted cloudiness capping peaks at 25°C, though strong model agreement and current data render this unlikely; final Wunderground readings will resolve post-midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题