Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park—the standard station for New York City highs—confirm the maximum temperature reached 60°F on May 11, 2026, at approximately 5:51 p.m., driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on the 60-61°F outcome. Persistent cloud cover and a stable boundary layer, as noted in post-event summaries, suppressed heating below pre-event forecast models projecting mid-60s peaks, well under the climatological May 11 normal of 70°F. This verified measurement aligns with hourly data releases, leaving minimal uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from NWS quality controls, such as sensor recalibration, though such adjustments post-preliminary reports are exceptional. No further updates expected as the market nears resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in NYC on May 11?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 11?
60-61°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$159,803 交易量
$159,803 交易量
2026-05-11
53°F or below
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
Yes
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72°F or higher
No
60-61°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$159,803 交易量
$159,803 交易量
2026-05-11
53°F or below
$2,149 交易量
No
54-55°F
$2,235 交易量
No
56-57°F
$1,849 交易量
No
58-59°F
$6,321 交易量
No
60-61°F
$46,135 交易量
Yes
62-63°F
$28,054 交易量
No
64-65°F
$17,810 交易量
No
66-67°F
$15,249 交易量
No
68-69°F
$10,014 交易量
No
70-71°F
$21,165 交易量
No
72°F or higher
$8,821 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park—the standard station for New York City highs—confirm the maximum temperature reached 60°F on May 11, 2026, at approximately 5:51 p.m., driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on the 60-61°F outcome. Persistent cloud cover and a stable boundary layer, as noted in post-event summaries, suppressed heating below pre-event forecast models projecting mid-60s peaks, well under the climatological May 11 normal of 70°F. This verified measurement aligns with hourly data releases, leaving minimal uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from NWS quality controls, such as sensor recalibration, though such adjustments post-preliminary reports are exceptional. No further updates expected as the market nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 9, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
交易量
$159,803结束日期
2026-05-11市场开放时间
May 9, 2026, 8:56 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park—the standard station for New York City highs—confirm the maximum temperature reached 60°F on May 11, 2026, at approximately 5:51 p.m., driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on the 60-61°F outcome. Persistent cloud cover and a stable boundary layer, as noted in post-event summaries, suppressed heating below pre-event forecast models projecting mid-60s peaks, well under the climatological May 11 normal of 70°F. This verified measurement aligns with hourly data releases, leaving minimal uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from NWS quality controls, such as sensor recalibration, though such adjustments post-preliminary reports are exceptional. No further updates expected as the market nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$159,803结束日期
2026-05-11市场开放时间
May 9, 2026, 8:56 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park—the standard station for New York City highs—confirm the maximum temperature reached 60°F on May 11, 2026, at approximately 5:51 p.m., driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on the 60-61°F outcome. Persistent cloud cover and a stable boundary layer, as noted in post-event summaries, suppressed heating below pre-event forecast models projecting mid-60s peaks, well under the climatological May 11 normal of 70°F. This verified measurement aligns with hourly data releases, leaving minimal uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from NWS quality controls, such as sensor recalibration, though such adjustments post-preliminary reports are exceptional. No further updates expected as the market nears resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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