Official National Weather Service observations from New York City Central Park (KNYC) and LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) stations confirm the highest temperature on May 6 reached 66-67°F, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome. This aligns with NOAA ensemble forecast models predicting highs near 67°F amid cloudy skies, light-to-moderate rain totaling about 0.5 inches, and cool northerly airflow that displaced prior summer-like warmth. Typical early May highs average 69°F, but the frontal boundary suppressed temperatures effectively. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post hoc data revision for sensor anomalies could shift resolution, as corroborated by multiple stations and Wunderground records.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in NYC on May 6?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 6?
66-67°F 100%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$439,318 交易量
$439,318 交易量
2026-05-06
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
Yes
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
66-67°F 100%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$439,318 交易量
$439,318 交易量
2026-05-06
55°F or below
$3,460 交易量
No
56-57°F
$1,038 交易量
No
58-59°F
$3,441 交易量
No
60-61°F
$120,441 交易量
No
62-63°F
$117,854 交易量
No
64-65°F
$16,558 交易量
No
66-67°F
$53,461 交易量
Yes
68-69°F
$29,525 交易量
No
70-71°F
$33,497 交易量
No
72-73°F
$25,879 交易量
No
74°F or higher
$34,164 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from New York City Central Park (KNYC) and LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) stations confirm the highest temperature on May 6 reached 66-67°F, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome. This aligns with NOAA ensemble forecast models predicting highs near 67°F amid cloudy skies, light-to-moderate rain totaling about 0.5 inches, and cool northerly airflow that displaced prior summer-like warmth. Typical early May highs average 69°F, but the frontal boundary suppressed temperatures effectively. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post hoc data revision for sensor anomalies could shift resolution, as corroborated by multiple stations and Wunderground records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 4, 2026, 12:48 PM ET
交易量
$439,318结束日期
2026-05-06市场开放时间
May 4, 2026, 12:48 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from New York City Central Park (KNYC) and LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) stations confirm the highest temperature on May 6 reached 66-67°F, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome. This aligns with NOAA ensemble forecast models predicting highs near 67°F amid cloudy skies, light-to-moderate rain totaling about 0.5 inches, and cool northerly airflow that displaced prior summer-like warmth. Typical early May highs average 69°F, but the frontal boundary suppressed temperatures effectively. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post hoc data revision for sensor anomalies could shift resolution, as corroborated by multiple stations and Wunderground records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$439,318结束日期
2026-05-06市场开放时间
May 4, 2026, 12:48 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official National Weather Service observations from New York City Central Park (KNYC) and LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) stations confirm the highest temperature on May 6 reached 66-67°F, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome. This aligns with NOAA ensemble forecast models predicting highs near 67°F amid cloudy skies, light-to-moderate rain totaling about 0.5 inches, and cool northerly airflow that displaced prior summer-like warmth. Typical early May highs average 69°F, but the frontal boundary suppressed temperatures effectively. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post hoc data revision for sensor anomalies could shift resolution, as corroborated by multiple stations and Wunderground records.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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