Trader sentiment for Sao Paulo's highest temperature on March 24 clusters tightly around 30°C at 27% implied probability, driven by the latest INMET and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs of 29-31°C amid persistent subtropical high pressure suppressing clouds and enhancing solar insolation. Differentiating factors include urban heat island amplification in the densely built metro area, which could push peaks toward 31°C or higher in GFS outlier runs, versus moderating sea breezes from the Atlantic potentially capping at 28-29°C per ICON models. Historical March averages hover near 28°C, but recent El Niño residuals favor warmer anomalies; watch tomorrow's 12Z model updates for resolution shifts as convective uncertainty lingers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on March 24?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on March 24?
30°C 27%
29°C 22%
28°C 18%
31°C 18%
25°C或以下
9%
26°C
15%
27°C
16%
28°C
18%
29°C
22%
30°C
27%
31°C
18%
32°C
17%
33°C
12%
34°C
10%
35°C or higher
9%
30°C 27%
29°C 22%
28°C 18%
31°C 18%
25°C或以下
9%
26°C
15%
27°C
16%
28°C
18%
29°C
22%
30°C
27%
31°C
18%
32°C
17%
33°C
12%
34°C
10%
35°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 20, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Sao Paulo's highest temperature on March 24 clusters tightly around 30°C at 27% implied probability, driven by the latest INMET and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs of 29-31°C amid persistent subtropical high pressure suppressing clouds and enhancing solar insolation. Differentiating factors include urban heat island amplification in the densely built metro area, which could push peaks toward 31°C or higher in GFS outlier runs, versus moderating sea breezes from the Atlantic potentially capping at 28-29°C per ICON models. Historical March averages hover near 28°C, but recent El Niño residuals favor warmer anomalies; watch tomorrow's 12Z model updates for resolution shifts as convective uncertainty lingers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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