Official Central Weather Administration (CWA) observations from Taipei's Songshan Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm a maximum temperature of 21°C on May 5, 2026, driving 100% trader consensus as real-time data through late evening shows no higher peaks. Persistent cloudy skies and occasional showers suppressed solar insolation and enhanced evaporative cooling, aligning precisely with pre-day forecasts of 18-22°C amid a stable high-pressure ridge and light northerly flow. Early May climatology typically features highs near 27°C, but today's subdued conditions reflect model consensus on overcast weather patterns. Realistic challenges are negligible, limited to improbable late data revisions, with final CWA validation expected soon.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月5日台北气温最高?
21°C 100.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$59,556 交易量
$59,556 交易量
16°C或以下
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
是
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C或更高
否
21°C 100.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$59,556 交易量
$59,556 交易量
16°C或以下
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
是
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official Central Weather Administration (CWA) observations from Taipei's Songshan Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm a maximum temperature of 21°C on May 5, 2026, driving 100% trader consensus as real-time data through late evening shows no higher peaks. Persistent cloudy skies and occasional showers suppressed solar insolation and enhanced evaporative cooling, aligning precisely with pre-day forecasts of 18-22°C amid a stable high-pressure ridge and light northerly flow. Early May climatology typically features highs near 27°C, but today's subdued conditions reflect model consensus on overcast weather patterns. Realistic challenges are negligible, limited to improbable late data revisions, with final CWA validation expected soon.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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