Latest Israel Meteorological Service guidance projects a high near 29°C in Tel Aviv on April 17 under a weakening high-pressure ridge, with potential isolated thunderstorms capping temperatures, aligning with timeanddate.com forecasts of 28°C amid afternoon clouds. Yet trader consensus favors 35°C or higher at 35% implied probability—highest among outcomes—driven by recent heat surge, including a 30°C peak at Ben Gurion Airport on April 14 and projected 32°C on April 15-16 per ECMWF and GFS ensembles. Model spread reflects uncertainty in subsidence warming versus cloud cover and southerly winds; historical April averages hover at 22-24°C, but spring sharav-like events enable extremes. Watch for tomorrow's model updates and IMS bulletin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 17?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 17?
35°C or higher 49%
32°C 23%
33°C 15%
31°C 12%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
4%
30°C
6%
31°C
12%
32°C
23%
33°C
15%
34°C
11%
35°C or higher
39%
35°C or higher 49%
32°C 23%
33°C 15%
31°C 12%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
4%
30°C
6%
31°C
12%
32°C
23%
33°C
15%
34°C
11%
35°C or higher
39%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Israel Meteorological Service guidance projects a high near 29°C in Tel Aviv on April 17 under a weakening high-pressure ridge, with potential isolated thunderstorms capping temperatures, aligning with timeanddate.com forecasts of 28°C amid afternoon clouds. Yet trader consensus favors 35°C or higher at 35% implied probability—highest among outcomes—driven by recent heat surge, including a 30°C peak at Ben Gurion Airport on April 14 and projected 32°C on April 15-16 per ECMWF and GFS ensembles. Model spread reflects uncertainty in subsidence warming versus cloud cover and southerly winds; historical April averages hover at 22-24°C, but spring sharav-like events enable extremes. Watch for tomorrow's model updates and IMS bulletin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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