Environment Canada's latest 3:30 PM EDT forecast for Toronto projects a daytime high of 19°C on May 3 under mainly sunny conditions with southwest winds at 20 km/h, driving the market's 100% implied probability for 15°C or higher at Toronto Pearson International Airport. Observations confirm early morning lows near 1°C warming to 11°C by 5 PM amid light showers and gusty westerly winds up to 50 km/h, aligning with model consensus for peak afternoon heating after recent cooler days (highs near 9–10°C). May normals average 17°C, providing climatological support. Realistic challenges include persistent cloudiness or evening showers capping temperatures below 15°C, though trajectories strongly favor the warmer outcome; final Wunderground CYYZ records will resolve.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月3日多伦多气温最高?
15°C或更高 100%
5°C或以下 <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$131,837 交易量
$131,837 交易量
5°C或以下
否
6°C
否
7°C
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C或更高
是
15°C或更高 100%
5°C或以下 <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$131,837 交易量
$131,837 交易量
5°C或以下
否
6°C
否
7°C
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C或更高
是
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 1, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Environment Canada's latest 3:30 PM EDT forecast for Toronto projects a daytime high of 19°C on May 3 under mainly sunny conditions with southwest winds at 20 km/h, driving the market's 100% implied probability for 15°C or higher at Toronto Pearson International Airport. Observations confirm early morning lows near 1°C warming to 11°C by 5 PM amid light showers and gusty westerly winds up to 50 km/h, aligning with model consensus for peak afternoon heating after recent cooler days (highs near 9–10°C). May normals average 17°C, providing climatological support. Realistic challenges include persistent cloudiness or evening showers capping temperatures below 15°C, though trajectories strongly favor the warmer outcome; final Wunderground CYYZ records will resolve.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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