MetService observations at Wellington International Airport—the market's resolution station—confirm a peak temperature of 14°C earlier today, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability amid persistent heavy rain and gale-force southerly winds from a stalled low-pressure system over New Zealand. NIWA forecasts align, projecting no higher than 14°C under thick cloud cover and cool airflow, a departure from April's typical 16–17°C highs due to the front's arrival overnight after yesterday's 16.4°C. Uncertainty remains minimal as evening sets in, though a rare brief clearing with solar heating could challenge this if winds ease unexpectedly; updated hourly METARs and evening observations will finalize the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wellington on April 20?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 20?
14°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$155,843 交易量
$155,843 交易量
2026-04-20
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$155,843 交易量
$155,843 交易量
2026-04-20
9°C or below
$5,576 交易量
No
10°C
$4,922 交易量
No
11°C
$2,809 交易量
No
12°C
$3,881 交易量
No
13°C
$6,484 交易量
No
14°C
$46,780 交易量
Yes
15°C
$17,015 交易量
No
16°C
$41,270 交易量
No
17°C
$14,737 交易量
No
18°C
$6,643 交易量
No
19°C or higher
$5,727 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService observations at Wellington International Airport—the market's resolution station—confirm a peak temperature of 14°C earlier today, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability amid persistent heavy rain and gale-force southerly winds from a stalled low-pressure system over New Zealand. NIWA forecasts align, projecting no higher than 14°C under thick cloud cover and cool airflow, a departure from April's typical 16–17°C highs due to the front's arrival overnight after yesterday's 16.4°C. Uncertainty remains minimal as evening sets in, though a rare brief clearing with solar heating could challenge this if winds ease unexpectedly; updated hourly METARs and evening observations will finalize the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 18, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
交易量
$155,843结束日期
2026-04-20市场开放时间
Apr 18, 2026, 12:19 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService observations at Wellington International Airport—the market's resolution station—confirm a peak temperature of 14°C earlier today, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability amid persistent heavy rain and gale-force southerly winds from a stalled low-pressure system over New Zealand. NIWA forecasts align, projecting no higher than 14°C under thick cloud cover and cool airflow, a departure from April's typical 16–17°C highs due to the front's arrival overnight after yesterday's 16.4°C. Uncertainty remains minimal as evening sets in, though a rare brief clearing with solar heating could challenge this if winds ease unexpectedly; updated hourly METARs and evening observations will finalize the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$155,843结束日期
2026-04-20市场开放时间
Apr 18, 2026, 12:19 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
MetService observations at Wellington International Airport—the market's resolution station—confirm a peak temperature of 14°C earlier today, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability amid persistent heavy rain and gale-force southerly winds from a stalled low-pressure system over New Zealand. NIWA forecasts align, projecting no higher than 14°C under thick cloud cover and cool airflow, a departure from April's typical 16–17°C highs due to the front's arrival overnight after yesterday's 16.4°C. Uncertainty remains minimal as evening sets in, though a rare brief clearing with solar heating could challenge this if winds ease unexpectedly; updated hourly METARs and evening observations will finalize the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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