Recent model consensus from GFS and European guidance shows Madrid under a stable high-pressure ridge with clear skies and light winds on September 7, favoring moderate radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs near 36–37°C. Forecast lows cluster around 20–23°C, consistent with a warmer-than-average early-September pattern that has suppressed typical autumn cooling. This positions the 20°C-or-below outcome as the market leader at 46.5% implied probability, while 21–22°C brackets capture residual uncertainty in minimum timing and urban heat-island effects. Updated runs over the past 48 hours have shown little shift, keeping trader focus on any late-model cooling signals before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月7日马德里最低气温？
9月7日马德里最低气温？
24°C 19%
25°C 19%
26°C 19%
28°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-09-07
20°C或以下
53%
21°C
12%
22°C
11%
23°C
2%
24°C
19%
25°C
19%
26°C
19%
27°C
14%
28°C
15%
29°C
8%
30°C或更高
8%
24°C 19%
25°C 19%
26°C 19%
28°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-09-07
20°C或以下
$25 交易量
53%
21°C
$47 交易量
12%
22°C
$0 交易量
11%
23°C
$0 交易量
2%
24°C
$0 交易量
19%
25°C
$0 交易量
19%
26°C
$0 交易量
19%
27°C
$0 交易量
14%
28°C
$0 交易量
15%
29°C
$0 交易量
8%
30°C或更高
$0 交易量
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and European guidance shows Madrid under a stable high-pressure ridge with clear skies and light winds on September 7, favoring moderate radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs near 36–37°C. Forecast lows cluster around 20–23°C, consistent with a warmer-than-average early-September pattern that has suppressed typical autumn cooling. This positions the 20°C-or-below outcome as the market leader at 46.5% implied probability, while 21–22°C brackets capture residual uncertainty in minimum timing and urban heat-island effects. Updated runs over the past 48 hours have shown little shift, keeping trader focus on any late-model cooling signals before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$72结束日期
2026-09-07市场开放时间
Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and European guidance shows Madrid under a stable high-pressure ridge with clear skies and light winds on September 7, favoring moderate radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs near 36–37°C. Forecast lows cluster around 20–23°C, consistent with a warmer-than-average early-September pattern that has suppressed typical autumn cooling. This positions the 20°C-or-below outcome as the market leader at 46.5% implied probability, while 21–22°C brackets capture residual uncertainty in minimum timing and urban heat-island effects. Updated runs over the past 48 hours have shown little shift, keeping trader focus on any late-model cooling signals before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$72结束日期
2026-09-07市场开放时间
Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent model consensus from GFS and European guidance shows Madrid under a stable high-pressure ridge with clear skies and light winds on September 7, favoring moderate radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs near 36–37°C. Forecast lows cluster around 20–23°C, consistent with a warmer-than-average early-September pattern that has suppressed typical autumn cooling. This positions the 20°C-or-below outcome as the market leader at 46.5% implied probability, while 21–22°C brackets capture residual uncertainty in minimum timing and urban heat-island effects. Updated runs over the past 48 hours have shown little shift, keeping trader focus on any late-model cooling signals before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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