**Latest model guidance points to overnight lows in Madrid around 23–25°C on September 5 under a warm, high-pressure regime with light northeasterly winds and limited cloud cover.** This setup favors moderate radiational cooling after daytime highs near 35–37°C, keeping the minimum well above the long-term average of ~17°C but below the 34°C threshold that would require minimal nocturnal cooling. Trader consensus splits near 50/50 between 24°C or below and 34°C or higher because small variations in boundary-layer mixing, dew-point recovery, or late-day cloud increases can shift the exact minimum by a few degrees. Updated runs from agencies such as the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and NOAA’s GFS will clarify the outcome as the date approaches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月5日马德里最低气温？
9月5日马德里最低气温？
24°C或以下 51%
34°C或更高 49%
31°C 30%
27°C 29%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
24°C或以下
51%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
29%
28°C
28%
29°C
29%
30°C
29%
31°C
30%
32°C
29%
33°C
8%
34°C或更高
49%
24°C或以下 51%
34°C或更高 49%
31°C 30%
27°C 29%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
24°C或以下
$0 交易量
51%
25°C
$0 交易量
2%
26°C
$0 交易量
2%
27°C
$0 交易量
29%
28°C
$0 交易量
28%
29°C
$0 交易量
29%
30°C
$0 交易量
29%
31°C
$0 交易量
30%
32°C
$0 交易量
29%
33°C
$0 交易量
8%
34°C或更高
$0 交易量
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest model guidance points to overnight lows in Madrid around 23–25°C on September 5 under a warm, high-pressure regime with light northeasterly winds and limited cloud cover.** This setup favors moderate radiational cooling after daytime highs near 35–37°C, keeping the minimum well above the long-term average of ~17°C but below the 34°C threshold that would require minimal nocturnal cooling. Trader consensus splits near 50/50 between 24°C or below and 34°C or higher because small variations in boundary-layer mixing, dew-point recovery, or late-day cloud increases can shift the exact minimum by a few degrees. Updated runs from agencies such as the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and NOAA’s GFS will clarify the outcome as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest model guidance points to overnight lows in Madrid around 23–25°C on September 5 under a warm, high-pressure regime with light northeasterly winds and limited cloud cover.** This setup favors moderate radiational cooling after daytime highs near 35–37°C, keeping the minimum well above the long-term average of ~17°C but below the 34°C threshold that would require minimal nocturnal cooling. Trader consensus splits near 50/50 between 24°C or below and 34°C or higher because small variations in boundary-layer mixing, dew-point recovery, or late-day cloud increases can shift the exact minimum by a few degrees. Updated runs from agencies such as the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and NOAA’s GFS will clarify the outcome as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Latest model guidance points to overnight lows in Madrid around 23–25°C on September 5 under a warm, high-pressure regime with light northeasterly winds and limited cloud cover.** This setup favors moderate radiational cooling after daytime highs near 35–37°C, keeping the minimum well above the long-term average of ~17°C but below the 34°C threshold that would require minimal nocturnal cooling. Trader consensus splits near 50/50 between 24°C or below and 34°C or higher because small variations in boundary-layer mixing, dew-point recovery, or late-day cloud increases can shift the exact minimum by a few degrees. Updated runs from agencies such as the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and NOAA’s GFS will clarify the outcome as the date approaches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题