Current forecast consensus from models like GFS and ECMWF points to an overnight low of 18–19°C in Madrid on September 3, driven by clear skies, high pressure, and light northeasterly winds that permit moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 38°C. Madrid’s inland continental climate amplifies diurnal temperature swings, with dry September air and dew points around 10°C limiting further drops compared to historical early-month averages near 17°C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these levels because ensemble runs show minimal spread, though slight variations in boundary-layer mixing or wind shifts could tip the minimum below 18°C or hold it at 19°C; final official readings from stations like Barajas will resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月3日马德里最低气温？
9月3日马德里最低气温？
18°C or below 48%
28°C or higher 42%
19°C 27%
22°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
18°C or below
26%
19°C
27%
20°C
10%
21°C
8%
22°C
14%
23°C
13%
24°C
5%
25°C
13%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
42%
18°C or below 48%
28°C or higher 42%
19°C 27%
22°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
18°C or below
$34 交易量
26%
19°C
$0 交易量
27%
20°C
$0 交易量
10%
21°C
$110 交易量
8%
22°C
$5 交易量
14%
23°C
$5 交易量
13%
24°C
$5 交易量
5%
25°C
$5 交易量
13%
26°C
$5 交易量
2%
27°C
$5 交易量
2%
28°C or higher
$5 交易量
42%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from models like GFS and ECMWF points to an overnight low of 18–19°C in Madrid on September 3, driven by clear skies, high pressure, and light northeasterly winds that permit moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 38°C. Madrid’s inland continental climate amplifies diurnal temperature swings, with dry September air and dew points around 10°C limiting further drops compared to historical early-month averages near 17°C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these levels because ensemble runs show minimal spread, though slight variations in boundary-layer mixing or wind shifts could tip the minimum below 18°C or hold it at 19°C; final official readings from stations like Barajas will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$179结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from models like GFS and ECMWF points to an overnight low of 18–19°C in Madrid on September 3, driven by clear skies, high pressure, and light northeasterly winds that permit moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 38°C. Madrid’s inland continental climate amplifies diurnal temperature swings, with dry September air and dew points around 10°C limiting further drops compared to historical early-month averages near 17°C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these levels because ensemble runs show minimal spread, though slight variations in boundary-layer mixing or wind shifts could tip the minimum below 18°C or hold it at 19°C; final official readings from stations like Barajas will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$179结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent forecast consensus from models like GFS and ECMWF points to an overnight low of 18–19°C in Madrid on September 3, driven by clear skies, high pressure, and light northeasterly winds that permit moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 38°C. Madrid’s inland continental climate amplifies diurnal temperature swings, with dry September air and dew points around 10°C limiting further drops compared to historical early-month averages near 17°C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these levels because ensemble runs show minimal spread, though slight variations in boundary-layer mixing or wind shifts could tip the minimum below 18°C or hold it at 19°C; final official readings from stations like Barajas will resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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