Recent forecasts from numerical models including GFS indicate clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Madrid through September 2, favoring radiative cooling overnight under high pressure with minimal cloud cover or moisture to limit temperature drops. This setup supports minimum readings near the 1991–2020 climatological average of 17.6°C, though slight variations in boundary-layer mixing and dewpoint recovery could shift the outcome between 17°C and 19°C. Official AEMET guidance and updated ECMWF runs expected in the next 24 hours will refine the precise threshold, as traders weigh historical analogs against current stability that reduces chances of cooler advection from the north.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月2日马德里最低气温？
9月2日马德里最低气温？
17°C or below 50%
18°C 30%
21°C 30%
22°C 20%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
17°C or below
30%
18°C
30%
19°C
16%
20°C
16%
21°C
30%
22°C
20%
23°C
2%
24°C
10%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
17°C or below 50%
18°C 30%
21°C 30%
22°C 20%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
17°C or below
$49 交易量
30%
18°C
$0 交易量
30%
19°C
$0 交易量
16%
20°C
$0 交易量
16%
21°C
$5 交易量
30%
22°C
$5 交易量
20%
23°C
$5 交易量
2%
24°C
$5 交易量
10%
25°C
$5 交易量
<1%
26°C
$5 交易量
<1%
27°C or higher
$5 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from numerical models including GFS indicate clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Madrid through September 2, favoring radiative cooling overnight under high pressure with minimal cloud cover or moisture to limit temperature drops. This setup supports minimum readings near the 1991–2020 climatological average of 17.6°C, though slight variations in boundary-layer mixing and dewpoint recovery could shift the outcome between 17°C and 19°C. Official AEMET guidance and updated ECMWF runs expected in the next 24 hours will refine the precise threshold, as traders weigh historical analogs against current stability that reduces chances of cooler advection from the north.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$84结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from numerical models including GFS indicate clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Madrid through September 2, favoring radiative cooling overnight under high pressure with minimal cloud cover or moisture to limit temperature drops. This setup supports minimum readings near the 1991–2020 climatological average of 17.6°C, though slight variations in boundary-layer mixing and dewpoint recovery could shift the outcome between 17°C and 19°C. Official AEMET guidance and updated ECMWF runs expected in the next 24 hours will refine the precise threshold, as traders weigh historical analogs against current stability that reduces chances of cooler advection from the north.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$84结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from numerical models including GFS indicate clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Madrid through September 2, favoring radiative cooling overnight under high pressure with minimal cloud cover or moisture to limit temperature drops. This setup supports minimum readings near the 1991–2020 climatological average of 17.6°C, though slight variations in boundary-layer mixing and dewpoint recovery could shift the outcome between 17°C and 19°C. Official AEMET guidance and updated ECMWF runs expected in the next 24 hours will refine the precise threshold, as traders weigh historical analogs against current stability that reduces chances of cooler advection from the north.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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