Current ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers show Madrid under a stable high-pressure regime with clear skies and light southerly flow, producing strong diurnal heating and maximum temperatures centered on 36–37 °C. Subtle model differences in boundary-layer mixing, wind speeds, and the precise timing of peak insolation create the tight spread between these two leading outcomes. With only two days until resolution at the official station, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and historical analogs for early-September heat under similar synoptic patterns, while discounting lower-probability cooler or hotter extremes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月2日马德里最高温度？
9月2日马德里最高温度？
37°C 45%
36°C 40%
38°C 9%
35°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
31°C or below
4%
32°C
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
6%
35°C
8%
36°C
40%
37°C
45%
38°C
9%
39°C
5%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
37°C 45%
36°C 40%
38°C 9%
35°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
31°C or below
$5 交易量
4%
32°C
$5 交易量
1%
33°C
$5 交易量
4%
34°C
$5 交易量
6%
35°C
$5 交易量
8%
36°C
$81 交易量
40%
37°C
$133 交易量
45%
38°C
$14 交易量
9%
39°C
$5 交易量
5%
40°C
$6 交易量
<1%
41°C or higher
$5 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers show Madrid under a stable high-pressure regime with clear skies and light southerly flow, producing strong diurnal heating and maximum temperatures centered on 36–37 °C. Subtle model differences in boundary-layer mixing, wind speeds, and the precise timing of peak insolation create the tight spread between these two leading outcomes. With only two days until resolution at the official station, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and historical analogs for early-September heat under similar synoptic patterns, while discounting lower-probability cooler or hotter extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$269结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers show Madrid under a stable high-pressure regime with clear skies and light southerly flow, producing strong diurnal heating and maximum temperatures centered on 36–37 °C. Subtle model differences in boundary-layer mixing, wind speeds, and the precise timing of peak insolation create the tight spread between these two leading outcomes. With only two days until resolution at the official station, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and historical analogs for early-September heat under similar synoptic patterns, while discounting lower-probability cooler or hotter extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$269结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers show Madrid under a stable high-pressure regime with clear skies and light southerly flow, producing strong diurnal heating and maximum temperatures centered on 36–37 °C. Subtle model differences in boundary-layer mixing, wind speeds, and the precise timing of peak insolation create the tight spread between these two leading outcomes. With only two days until resolution at the official station, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and historical analogs for early-September heat under similar synoptic patterns, while discounting lower-probability cooler or hotter extremes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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