The National Weather Service's daily climatological report for Central Park (KNYC ASOS station) confirms a minimum temperature of 42°F on April 25, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 42-43°F outcome on Polymarket. Cloudy conditions, light rain, and urban heat island effects limited nocturnal cooling, aligning with seasonal April norms where lows average around 45°F but vary with synoptic patterns like weak high pressure aloft. This observed data resolves prior forecast uncertainty from models showing 40-45°F ranges. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post-audit sensor correction by NOAA could alter it, as preliminary CLI summaries rarely change. Final certification expected within days.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Lowest temperature in NYC on April 25?
Lowest temperature in NYC on April 25?
42-43°F 100.0%
37°F or below <1%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$39,408 交易量
$39,408 交易量
2026-04-25
37°F or below
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
Yes
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56°F or higher
No
42-43°F 100.0%
37°F or below <1%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$39,408 交易量
$39,408 交易量
2026-04-25
37°F or below
$1,083 交易量
No
38-39°F
$9,325 交易量
No
40-41°F
$3,435 交易量
No
42-43°F
$6,408 交易量
Yes
44-45°F
$2,361 交易量
No
46-47°F
$2,009 交易量
No
48-49°F
$2,740 交易量
No
50-51°F
$3,271 交易量
No
52-53°F
$2,103 交易量
No
54-55°F
$3,888 交易量
No
56°F or higher
$2,786 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's daily climatological report for Central Park (KNYC ASOS station) confirms a minimum temperature of 42°F on April 25, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 42-43°F outcome on Polymarket. Cloudy conditions, light rain, and urban heat island effects limited nocturnal cooling, aligning with seasonal April norms where lows average around 45°F but vary with synoptic patterns like weak high pressure aloft. This observed data resolves prior forecast uncertainty from models showing 40-45°F ranges. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post-audit sensor correction by NOAA could alter it, as preliminary CLI summaries rarely change. Final certification expected within days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 23, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$39,408结束日期
2026-04-25市场开放时间
Apr 23, 2026, 12:02 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's daily climatological report for Central Park (KNYC ASOS station) confirms a minimum temperature of 42°F on April 25, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 42-43°F outcome on Polymarket. Cloudy conditions, light rain, and urban heat island effects limited nocturnal cooling, aligning with seasonal April norms where lows average around 45°F but vary with synoptic patterns like weak high pressure aloft. This observed data resolves prior forecast uncertainty from models showing 40-45°F ranges. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post-audit sensor correction by NOAA could alter it, as preliminary CLI summaries rarely change. Final certification expected within days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$39,408结束日期
2026-04-25市场开放时间
Apr 23, 2026, 12:02 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The National Weather Service's daily climatological report for Central Park (KNYC ASOS station) confirms a minimum temperature of 42°F on April 25, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 42-43°F outcome on Polymarket. Cloudy conditions, light rain, and urban heat island effects limited nocturnal cooling, aligning with seasonal April norms where lows average around 45°F but vary with synoptic patterns like weak high pressure aloft. This observed data resolves prior forecast uncertainty from models showing 40-45°F ranges. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post-audit sensor correction by NOAA could alter it, as preliminary CLI summaries rarely change. Final certification expected within days.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题