A strong heatwave driven by a high-pressure dome and northward advection of subtropical air has elevated minimum temperatures across Paris ahead of June 19. Official guidance and ensemble models from Météo-France and European centers indicate overnight lows stabilizing near 22–23 °C under persistent clear skies and light winds that limit radiative cooling. This setup deviates from June climatological norms of 12–15 °C, pushing market-implied probabilities toward those warmer thresholds. Updated model runs show limited cooling potential before dawn, with only modest variability expected from localized urban heat-island effects. Traders are therefore concentrating positions around the 21–23 °C range as the most consistent forecast outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月19日巴黎最低气温？
6月19日巴黎最低气温？
19°C或以下 100.0%
20°C <1%
21℃ <1%
22°C <1%
$24,445 交易量
$24,445 交易量
2026-06-19
19°C或以下
是
20°C
否
21℃
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25℃
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C或更高
否
19°C或以下 100.0%
20°C <1%
21℃ <1%
22°C <1%
$24,445 交易量
$24,445 交易量
2026-06-19
19°C或以下
$3,514 交易量
是
20°C
$3,670 交易量
否
21℃
$3,330 交易量
否
22°C
$5,233 交易量
否
23°C
$3,081 交易量
否
24°C
$1,916 交易量
否
25℃
$1,026 交易量
否
26°C
$744 交易量
否
27°C
$425 交易量
否
28°C
$1,206 交易量
否
29°C或更高
$301 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strong heatwave driven by a high-pressure dome and northward advection of subtropical air has elevated minimum temperatures across Paris ahead of June 19. Official guidance and ensemble models from Météo-France and European centers indicate overnight lows stabilizing near 22–23 °C under persistent clear skies and light winds that limit radiative cooling. This setup deviates from June climatological norms of 12–15 °C, pushing market-implied probabilities toward those warmer thresholds. Updated model runs show limited cooling potential before dawn, with only modest variability expected from localized urban heat-island effects. Traders are therefore concentrating positions around the 21–23 °C range as the most consistent forecast outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$24,445结束日期
2026-06-19市场开放时间
Jun 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strong heatwave driven by a high-pressure dome and northward advection of subtropical air has elevated minimum temperatures across Paris ahead of June 19. Official guidance and ensemble models from Météo-France and European centers indicate overnight lows stabilizing near 22–23 °C under persistent clear skies and light winds that limit radiative cooling. This setup deviates from June climatological norms of 12–15 °C, pushing market-implied probabilities toward those warmer thresholds. Updated model runs show limited cooling potential before dawn, with only modest variability expected from localized urban heat-island effects. Traders are therefore concentrating positions around the 21–23 °C range as the most consistent forecast outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$24,445结束日期
2026-06-19市场开放时间
Jun 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
A strong heatwave driven by a high-pressure dome and northward advection of subtropical air has elevated minimum temperatures across Paris ahead of June 19. Official guidance and ensemble models from Météo-France and European centers indicate overnight lows stabilizing near 22–23 °C under persistent clear skies and light winds that limit radiative cooling. This setup deviates from June climatological norms of 12–15 °C, pushing market-implied probabilities toward those warmer thresholds. Updated model runs show limited cooling potential before dawn, with only modest variability expected from localized urban heat-island effects. Traders are therefore concentrating positions around the 21–23 °C range as the most consistent forecast outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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