Recent forecast guidance from Météo-France and European models centers trader focus on a minimum near 19°C for Paris on June 20, reflecting a modest lull in the mid-June heatwave as an Atlantic influence brings slightly cooler air and a 60% chance of light rain or increased cloud cover. These conditions limit nighttime radiative cooling compared to clear-sky scenarios, while light winds (8–35 km/h) reduce mixing that could otherwise elevate overnight lows. Ensemble spreads and typical model uncertainty at this lead time produce the observed clustering of probabilities around 18–21°C, consistent with climatological June minima of 13–15°C being elevated by the persistent warm anomaly. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to the daily minimum reading.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月20日巴黎最低气温?
18°C或以下 100.0%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$15,842 交易量
$15,842 交易量
18°C或以下
是
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C或更高
否
18°C或以下 100.0%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$15,842 交易量
$15,842 交易量
18°C或以下
是
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
Recent forecast guidance from Météo-France and European models centers trader focus on a minimum near 19°C for Paris on June 20, reflecting a modest lull in the mid-June heatwave as an Atlantic influence brings slightly cooler air and a 60% chance of light rain or increased cloud cover. These conditions limit nighttime radiative cooling compared to clear-sky scenarios, while light winds (8–35 km/h) reduce mixing that could otherwise elevate overnight lows. Ensemble spreads and typical model uncertainty at this lead time produce the observed clustering of probabilities around 18–21°C, consistent with climatological June minima of 13–15°C being elevated by the persistent warm anomaly. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to the daily minimum reading.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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