Market-implied odds strongly favor a 13°C minimum temperature in Paris on June 3 due to consensus from numerical weather prediction models and observational data showing stable overnight conditions under partly cloudy skies with light winds. Early June climatology for the region typically features lows between 11°C and 16°C, and current forecasts align precisely with this central value without indications of advection from cooler air masses or enhanced radiative cooling. Trader positioning reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-range models, where small deviations in cloud cover or humidity could shift the outcome slightly but remain unlikely to produce extremes. Upcoming updates from agencies like Météo-France will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings at standard heights.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Lowest temperature in Paris on June 3?
Lowest temperature in Paris on June 3?
13°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$11,534 交易量
$11,534 交易量
2026-06-03
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$11,534 交易量
$11,534 交易量
2026-06-03
7°C or below
$370 交易量
No
8°C
$211 交易量
No
9°C
$577 交易量
No
10°C
$374 交易量
No
11°C
$1,225 交易量
No
12°C
$1,697 交易量
No
13°C
$3,811 交易量
Yes
14°C
$873 交易量
No
15°C
$1,355 交易量
No
16°C
$788 交易量
No
17°C or higher
$252 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds strongly favor a 13°C minimum temperature in Paris on June 3 due to consensus from numerical weather prediction models and observational data showing stable overnight conditions under partly cloudy skies with light winds. Early June climatology for the region typically features lows between 11°C and 16°C, and current forecasts align precisely with this central value without indications of advection from cooler air masses or enhanced radiative cooling. Trader positioning reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-range models, where small deviations in cloud cover or humidity could shift the outcome slightly but remain unlikely to produce extremes. Upcoming updates from agencies like Météo-France will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings at standard heights.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 1, 2026, 12:53 AM ET
交易量
$11,534结束日期
2026-06-03市场开放时间
Jun 1, 2026, 12:53 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds strongly favor a 13°C minimum temperature in Paris on June 3 due to consensus from numerical weather prediction models and observational data showing stable overnight conditions under partly cloudy skies with light winds. Early June climatology for the region typically features lows between 11°C and 16°C, and current forecasts align precisely with this central value without indications of advection from cooler air masses or enhanced radiative cooling. Trader positioning reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-range models, where small deviations in cloud cover or humidity could shift the outcome slightly but remain unlikely to produce extremes. Upcoming updates from agencies like Météo-France will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings at standard heights.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$11,534结束日期
2026-06-03市场开放时间
Jun 1, 2026, 12:53 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Market-implied odds strongly favor a 13°C minimum temperature in Paris on June 3 due to consensus from numerical weather prediction models and observational data showing stable overnight conditions under partly cloudy skies with light winds. Early June climatology for the region typically features lows between 11°C and 16°C, and current forecasts align precisely with this central value without indications of advection from cooler air masses or enhanced radiative cooling. Trader positioning reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-range models, where small deviations in cloud cover or humidity could shift the outcome slightly but remain unlikely to produce extremes. Upcoming updates from agencies like Météo-France will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings at standard heights.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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