The Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecasts project Seoul's lowest temperature on April 15 at around 10°C, aligning with a strong model consensus amid mild spring conditions featuring light winds and partial cloud cover that limit radiative cooling. Current early-morning observations near Gimpo and Incheon airports support this, showing minima hovering at 10–11°C, while historical mid-April lows average 9–11°C, reinforcing trader confidence with 93.8% implied probability for 10°C. Scenarios challenging this include an unexpected surge of cooler continental air or increased overnight clear skies enabling sharper drops to 9°C or below, though ensemble models show low likelihood; final resolution awaits official KMA station data by day's end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月15日首尔最低气温？
4月15日首尔最低气温？
10°C 93.8%
9°C 6.3%
8°C或以下 <1%
最新
$78,581 交易量
最新
$78,581 交易量
2026-04-16
8°C或以下
1%
9°C
6%
10°C
94%
10°C 93.8%
9°C 6.3%
8°C或以下 <1%
最新
$78,581 交易量
最新
$78,581 交易量
2026-04-16
8°C或以下
$4,455 交易量
1%
9°C
$4,013 交易量
6%
10°C
$6,912 交易量
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecasts project Seoul's lowest temperature on April 15 at around 10°C, aligning with a strong model consensus amid mild spring conditions featuring light winds and partial cloud cover that limit radiative cooling. Current early-morning observations near Gimpo and Incheon airports support this, showing minima hovering at 10–11°C, while historical mid-April lows average 9–11°C, reinforcing trader confidence with 93.8% implied probability for 10°C. Scenarios challenging this include an unexpected surge of cooler continental air or increased overnight clear skies enabling sharper drops to 9°C or below, though ensemble models show low likelihood; final resolution awaits official KMA station data by day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 13, 2026, 8:17 PM ET
交易量
$78,581结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 8:17 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecasts project Seoul's lowest temperature on April 15 at around 10°C, aligning with a strong model consensus amid mild spring conditions featuring light winds and partial cloud cover that limit radiative cooling. Current early-morning observations near Gimpo and Incheon airports support this, showing minima hovering at 10–11°C, while historical mid-April lows average 9–11°C, reinforcing trader confidence with 93.8% implied probability for 10°C. Scenarios challenging this include an unexpected surge of cooler continental air or increased overnight clear skies enabling sharper drops to 9°C or below, though ensemble models show low likelihood; final resolution awaits official KMA station data by day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$78,581结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 8:17 PM ETThe Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecasts project Seoul's lowest temperature on April 15 at around 10°C, aligning with a strong model consensus amid mild spring conditions featuring light winds and partial cloud cover that limit radiative cooling. Current early-morning observations near Gimpo and Incheon airports support this, showing minima hovering at 10–11°C, while historical mid-April lows average 9–11°C, reinforcing trader confidence with 93.8% implied probability for 10°C. Scenarios challenging this include an unexpected surge of cooler continental air or increased overnight clear skies enabling sharper drops to 9°C or below, though ensemble models show low likelihood; final resolution awaits official KMA station data by day's end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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