Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast projects Seoul's highest temperature on April 15 at around 19°C under clear skies and light westerly winds of 5-7 kt, aligning with trader sentiment favoring 19°C (26.5%), 20°C (27.5%), and 21°C or higher (29.7%) outcomes amid a tight three-way race. This reflects model divergence, with KMA's localized guidance cooler than warmer ensemble projections from sources like AccuWeather (up to 26°C hazy sun), stemming from uncertainty in whether recent highs near 24-28°C on April 14 persist or yield to a stabilizing high-pressure ridge. Climatological norms for mid-April hover at 18-20°C, with low precipitation risk amplifying sensitivity to cloud cover and afternoon solar heating; updated hourly observations from Gimpo or Incheon stations tomorrow will sharpen resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Seoul on April 15?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 15?
21°C or higher 29.7%
20°C 29%
19°C 28%
18°C 9%
最新
$186,795 交易量
最新
$186,795 交易量
2026-04-15
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
9%
19°C
28%
20°C
29%
21°C or higher
30%
21°C or higher 29.7%
20°C 29%
19°C 28%
18°C 9%
最新
$186,795 交易量
最新
$186,795 交易量
2026-04-15
12°C
$10,831 交易量
<1%
13°C
$11,649 交易量
<1%
14°C
$15,771 交易量
<1%
15°C
$15,863 交易量
1%
16°C
$16,801 交易量
2%
17°C
$20,231 交易量
4%
18°C
$17,251 交易量
9%
19°C
$11,163 交易量
28%
20°C
$8,782 交易量
29%
21°C or higher
$31,603 交易量
30%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast projects Seoul's highest temperature on April 15 at around 19°C under clear skies and light westerly winds of 5-7 kt, aligning with trader sentiment favoring 19°C (26.5%), 20°C (27.5%), and 21°C or higher (29.7%) outcomes amid a tight three-way race. This reflects model divergence, with KMA's localized guidance cooler than warmer ensemble projections from sources like AccuWeather (up to 26°C hazy sun), stemming from uncertainty in whether recent highs near 24-28°C on April 14 persist or yield to a stabilizing high-pressure ridge. Climatological norms for mid-April hover at 18-20°C, with low precipitation risk amplifying sensitivity to cloud cover and afternoon solar heating; updated hourly observations from Gimpo or Incheon stations tomorrow will sharpen resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$186,795结束日期
2026-04-15市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast projects Seoul's highest temperature on April 15 at around 19°C under clear skies and light westerly winds of 5-7 kt, aligning with trader sentiment favoring 19°C (26.5%), 20°C (27.5%), and 21°C or higher (29.7%) outcomes amid a tight three-way race. This reflects model divergence, with KMA's localized guidance cooler than warmer ensemble projections from sources like AccuWeather (up to 26°C hazy sun), stemming from uncertainty in whether recent highs near 24-28°C on April 14 persist or yield to a stabilizing high-pressure ridge. Climatological norms for mid-April hover at 18-20°C, with low precipitation risk amplifying sensitivity to cloud cover and afternoon solar heating; updated hourly observations from Gimpo or Incheon stations tomorrow will sharpen resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$186,795结束日期
2026-04-15市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETKorea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast projects Seoul's highest temperature on April 15 at around 19°C under clear skies and light westerly winds of 5-7 kt, aligning with trader sentiment favoring 19°C (26.5%), 20°C (27.5%), and 21°C or higher (29.7%) outcomes amid a tight three-way race. This reflects model divergence, with KMA's localized guidance cooler than warmer ensemble projections from sources like AccuWeather (up to 26°C hazy sun), stemming from uncertainty in whether recent highs near 24-28°C on April 14 persist or yield to a stabilizing high-pressure ridge. Climatological norms for mid-April hover at 18-20°C, with low precipitation risk amplifying sensitivity to cloud cover and afternoon solar heating; updated hourly observations from Gimpo or Incheon stations tomorrow will sharpen resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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