Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts and ensemble models project Busan's highest temperature on April 15 near 23°C, anchoring trader consensus at 35.5% implied probability for that outcome, with 22°C (24.5%) and 24°C (21.5%) close behind. This positioning reflects a recent warm spell, including a 25°C peak on April 13 amid a high-pressure ridge and southerly winds boosting daytime heating, contrasting cooler evenings around 15-16°C. Mid-April climatological averages hover at 19-21°C, but above-normal warmth persists due to reduced cloud cover and spring solar insolation. Inherent forecast uncertainty from model spread—some ensembles reach 25°C or higher—supports the 16.4% tail for 25°C+, with KMA's next 12Z update expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Busan on April 15?
Highest temperature in Busan on April 15?
23°C 32.6%
22°C 23%
24°C 21.7%
25°C or higher 21.6%
最新
$17,746 交易量
最新
$17,746 交易量
2026-04-15
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
23%
23°C
33%
24°C
22%
25°C or higher
22%
23°C 32.6%
22°C 23%
24°C 21.7%
25°C or higher 21.6%
最新
$17,746 交易量
最新
$17,746 交易量
2026-04-15
15°C or below
$854 交易量
<1%
16°C
$960 交易量
<1%
17°C
$2,120 交易量
<1%
18°C
$2,463 交易量
<1%
19°C
$1,821 交易量
1%
20°C
$2,246 交易量
1%
21°C
$1,887 交易量
5%
22°C
$535 交易量
23%
23°C
$906 交易量
33%
24°C
$2,069 交易量
22%
25°C or higher
$2,050 交易量
22%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts and ensemble models project Busan's highest temperature on April 15 near 23°C, anchoring trader consensus at 35.5% implied probability for that outcome, with 22°C (24.5%) and 24°C (21.5%) close behind. This positioning reflects a recent warm spell, including a 25°C peak on April 13 amid a high-pressure ridge and southerly winds boosting daytime heating, contrasting cooler evenings around 15-16°C. Mid-April climatological averages hover at 19-21°C, but above-normal warmth persists due to reduced cloud cover and spring solar insolation. Inherent forecast uncertainty from model spread—some ensembles reach 25°C or higher—supports the 16.4% tail for 25°C+, with KMA's next 12Z update expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 13, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
交易量
$17,746结束日期
2026-04-15市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 12:26 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts and ensemble models project Busan's highest temperature on April 15 near 23°C, anchoring trader consensus at 35.5% implied probability for that outcome, with 22°C (24.5%) and 24°C (21.5%) close behind. This positioning reflects a recent warm spell, including a 25°C peak on April 13 amid a high-pressure ridge and southerly winds boosting daytime heating, contrasting cooler evenings around 15-16°C. Mid-April climatological averages hover at 19-21°C, but above-normal warmth persists due to reduced cloud cover and spring solar insolation. Inherent forecast uncertainty from model spread—some ensembles reach 25°C or higher—supports the 16.4% tail for 25°C+, with KMA's next 12Z update expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$17,746结束日期
2026-04-15市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 12:26 AM ETKorea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts and ensemble models project Busan's highest temperature on April 15 near 23°C, anchoring trader consensus at 35.5% implied probability for that outcome, with 22°C (24.5%) and 24°C (21.5%) close behind. This positioning reflects a recent warm spell, including a 25°C peak on April 13 amid a high-pressure ridge and southerly winds boosting daytime heating, contrasting cooler evenings around 15-16°C. Mid-April climatological averages hover at 19-21°C, but above-normal warmth persists due to reduced cloud cover and spring solar insolation. Inherent forecast uncertainty from model spread—some ensembles reach 25°C or higher—supports the 16.4% tail for 25°C+, with KMA's next 12Z update expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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