Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50% implied probability for New York City's highest temperature at LaGuardia Airport on April 14 to reach 71°F or below, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF model ensembles showing peak highs clustering in the upper 60s to low 70s amid a building upper-level ridge promoting above-normal warmth after early April's cooler spell. Recent developments include a dry weekend setup with southwesterly flow boosting temperatures into the 60s on April 12-13, but potential afternoon cloudiness or a weak frontal boundary could cap peaks below 72°F, as historical April 14 normals hover near 60°F. Model spread highlights uncertainty in peak heating; watch NWS updates and 00Z model runs Sunday for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月14日纽约市最高气温？
4月14日纽约市最高气温？
80-81°F 24%
78-79°F 22%
76-77°F 18%
82-83°F 17%
最新
最新
2026-04-14
71°F或以下
4%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
18%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
24%
82-83°F
18%
84-85°F
10%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
8%
90°F或更高
1%
80-81°F 24%
78-79°F 22%
76-77°F 18%
82-83°F 17%
最新
最新
2026-04-14
71°F或以下
$39 交易量
4%
72-73°F
$168 交易量
2%
74-75°F
$29 交易量
8%
76-77°F
$103 交易量
18%
78-79°F
$37 交易量
22%
80-81°F
$43 交易量
24%
82-83°F
$95 交易量
18%
84-85°F
$20 交易量
10%
86-87°F
$52 交易量
9%
88-89°F
$0 交易量
8%
90°F或更高
$77 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50% implied probability for New York City's highest temperature at LaGuardia Airport on April 14 to reach 71°F or below, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF model ensembles showing peak highs clustering in the upper 60s to low 70s amid a building upper-level ridge promoting above-normal warmth after early April's cooler spell. Recent developments include a dry weekend setup with southwesterly flow boosting temperatures into the 60s on April 12-13, but potential afternoon cloudiness or a weak frontal boundary could cap peaks below 72°F, as historical April 14 normals hover near 60°F. Model spread highlights uncertainty in peak heating; watch NWS updates and 00Z model runs Sunday for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$652结束日期
2026-04-14市场开放时间
Apr 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50% implied probability for New York City's highest temperature at LaGuardia Airport on April 14 to reach 71°F or below, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF model ensembles showing peak highs clustering in the upper 60s to low 70s amid a building upper-level ridge promoting above-normal warmth after early April's cooler spell. Recent developments include a dry weekend setup with southwesterly flow boosting temperatures into the 60s on April 12-13, but potential afternoon cloudiness or a weak frontal boundary could cap peaks below 72°F, as historical April 14 normals hover near 60°F. Model spread highlights uncertainty in peak heating; watch NWS updates and 00Z model runs Sunday for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$652结束日期
2026-04-14市场开放时间
Apr 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50% implied probability for New York City's highest temperature at LaGuardia Airport on April 14 to reach 71°F or below, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF model ensembles showing peak highs clustering in the upper 60s to low 70s amid a building upper-level ridge promoting above-normal warmth after early April's cooler spell. Recent developments include a dry weekend setup with southwesterly flow boosting temperatures into the 60s on April 12-13, but potential afternoon cloudiness or a weak frontal boundary could cap peaks below 72°F, as historical April 14 normals hover near 60°F. Model spread highlights uncertainty in peak heating; watch NWS updates and 00Z model runs Sunday for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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