**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 44°F or higher in Chicago on April 12 (99.8% implied probability), driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts indicating a daytime maximum near 48–50°F at O'Hare International Airport under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light east winds.** Ensemble model runs from NOAA, including the GFS and European models, show tight agreement with minimal spread, projecting highs well above 44°F amid a ridge of high pressure building over the Midwest following recent mild conditions on April 10–11. Climatological normals for the date hover around 58°F, but current synoptic patterns—lacking any deep cold air intrusion or frontal boundaries—support this positioning, with historical April cold snaps rare this late in the season. Realistic challenges include an unexpected surge of cool lake-effect air or persistent low clouds trapping cold, potentially capping highs near 42°F, though probabilities remain below 1% per model guidance; watch the 12Z model updates today for confirmation ahead of tomorrow's observations.**
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月12日芝加哥气温最高？
4月12日芝加哥气温最高？
44°F或更高 99.6%
42-43华氏度 <1%
25°F或以下 <1%
26-27°F <1%
$59,827 交易量
$59,827 交易量
2026-04-12
25°F或以下
<1%
26-27°F
<1%
28-29°F
<1%
30-31°F
<1%
32-33°F
<1%
34-35°F
<1%
36-37°F
<1%
38-39°F
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43华氏度
<1%
44°F或更高
100%
44°F或更高 99.6%
42-43华氏度 <1%
25°F或以下 <1%
26-27°F <1%
$59,827 交易量
$59,827 交易量
2026-04-12
25°F或以下
$7,104 交易量
<1%
26-27°F
$5,860 交易量
<1%
28-29°F
$5,152 交易量
<1%
30-31°F
$3,801 交易量
<1%
32-33°F
$3,782 交易量
<1%
34-35°F
$3,784 交易量
<1%
36-37°F
$3,523 交易量
<1%
38-39°F
$4,767 交易量
<1%
40-41°F
$3,840 交易量
<1%
42-43华氏度
$9,366 交易量
<1%
44°F或更高
$8,849 交易量
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 44°F or higher in Chicago on April 12 (99.8% implied probability), driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts indicating a daytime maximum near 48–50°F at O'Hare International Airport under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light east winds.** Ensemble model runs from NOAA, including the GFS and European models, show tight agreement with minimal spread, projecting highs well above 44°F amid a ridge of high pressure building over the Midwest following recent mild conditions on April 10–11. Climatological normals for the date hover around 58°F, but current synoptic patterns—lacking any deep cold air intrusion or frontal boundaries—support this positioning, with historical April cold snaps rare this late in the season. Realistic challenges include an unexpected surge of cool lake-effect air or persistent low clouds trapping cold, potentially capping highs near 42°F, though probabilities remain below 1% per model guidance; watch the 12Z model updates today for confirmation ahead of tomorrow's observations.**
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$59,827结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 44°F or higher in Chicago on April 12 (99.8% implied probability), driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts indicating a daytime maximum near 48–50°F at O'Hare International Airport under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light east winds.** Ensemble model runs from NOAA, including the GFS and European models, show tight agreement with minimal spread, projecting highs well above 44°F amid a ridge of high pressure building over the Midwest following recent mild conditions on April 10–11. Climatological normals for the date hover around 58°F, but current synoptic patterns—lacking any deep cold air intrusion or frontal boundaries—support this positioning, with historical April cold snaps rare this late in the season. Realistic challenges include an unexpected surge of cool lake-effect air or persistent low clouds trapping cold, potentially capping highs near 42°F, though probabilities remain below 1% per model guidance; watch the 12Z model updates today for confirmation ahead of tomorrow's observations.**
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$59,827结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 44°F or higher in Chicago on April 12 (99.8% implied probability), driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts indicating a daytime maximum near 48–50°F at O'Hare International Airport under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light east winds.** Ensemble model runs from NOAA, including the GFS and European models, show tight agreement with minimal spread, projecting highs well above 44°F amid a ridge of high pressure building over the Midwest following recent mild conditions on April 10–11. Climatological normals for the date hover around 58°F, but current synoptic patterns—lacking any deep cold air intrusion or frontal boundaries—support this positioning, with historical April cold snaps rare this late in the season. Realistic challenges include an unexpected surge of cool lake-effect air or persistent low clouds trapping cold, potentially capping highs near 42°F, though probabilities remain below 1% per model guidance; watch the 12Z model updates today for confirmation ahead of tomorrow's observations.**
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题