AEMET's latest short-range forecast predicts a maximum temperature of 14°C at Madrid-Barajas Airport on April 13, capping a sharp cool-down from 28°C highs on April 10 amid an incoming northerly airflow and increasing cloud cover, yet trader consensus favors 15°C (31.5%) and 16°C (30.5%) due to historical forecast bias of -0.25°C and slight spread in ECMWF/GFS ensembles showing potential for limited afternoon heating. Differentiating factors include model disagreements on boundary layer mixing, exact timing of cooler air advection, and urban heat effects at the airport station; April climatology averages 18°C highs, but current upper-air patterns suppress warming. Updated model runs and AEMET bulletins on April 12 could refine odds further.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Madrid on April 13?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 13?
16°C 35%
15°C 32%
17°C 24%
14°C 8.0%
最新
最新
2026-04-13
13°C or below
7%
14°C
8%
15°C
32%
16°C
35%
17°C
24%
18°C
5%
19°C
3%
20°C
3%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
1%
16°C 35%
15°C 32%
17°C 24%
14°C 8.0%
最新
最新
2026-04-13
13°C or below
$424 交易量
7%
14°C
$372 交易量
8%
15°C
$122 交易量
32%
16°C
$133 交易量
35%
17°C
$391 交易量
24%
18°C
$295 交易量
5%
19°C
$272 交易量
3%
20°C
$257 交易量
3%
21°C
$400 交易量
1%
22°C
$352 交易量
1%
23°C or higher
$898 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.AEMET's latest short-range forecast predicts a maximum temperature of 14°C at Madrid-Barajas Airport on April 13, capping a sharp cool-down from 28°C highs on April 10 amid an incoming northerly airflow and increasing cloud cover, yet trader consensus favors 15°C (31.5%) and 16°C (30.5%) due to historical forecast bias of -0.25°C and slight spread in ECMWF/GFS ensembles showing potential for limited afternoon heating. Differentiating factors include model disagreements on boundary layer mixing, exact timing of cooler air advection, and urban heat effects at the airport station; April climatology averages 18°C highs, but current upper-air patterns suppress warming. Updated model runs and AEMET bulletins on April 12 could refine odds further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 9, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
交易量
$3,870结束日期
2026-04-13市场开放时间
Apr 9, 2026, 12:37 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.AEMET's latest short-range forecast predicts a maximum temperature of 14°C at Madrid-Barajas Airport on April 13, capping a sharp cool-down from 28°C highs on April 10 amid an incoming northerly airflow and increasing cloud cover, yet trader consensus favors 15°C (31.5%) and 16°C (30.5%) due to historical forecast bias of -0.25°C and slight spread in ECMWF/GFS ensembles showing potential for limited afternoon heating. Differentiating factors include model disagreements on boundary layer mixing, exact timing of cooler air advection, and urban heat effects at the airport station; April climatology averages 18°C highs, but current upper-air patterns suppress warming. Updated model runs and AEMET bulletins on April 12 could refine odds further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$3,870结束日期
2026-04-13市场开放时间
Apr 9, 2026, 12:37 AM ETAEMET's latest short-range forecast predicts a maximum temperature of 14°C at Madrid-Barajas Airport on April 13, capping a sharp cool-down from 28°C highs on April 10 amid an incoming northerly airflow and increasing cloud cover, yet trader consensus favors 15°C (31.5%) and 16°C (30.5%) due to historical forecast bias of -0.25°C and slight spread in ECMWF/GFS ensembles showing potential for limited afternoon heating. Differentiating factors include model disagreements on boundary layer mixing, exact timing of cooler air advection, and urban heat effects at the airport station; April climatology averages 18°C highs, but current upper-air patterns suppress warming. Updated model runs and AEMET bulletins on April 12 could refine odds further.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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